Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 34

Date: 25 February 2023, Saturday


	Merthyr Town		North Leigh

	1	X	2
	1.49	4.2	4.8
	1.52	4.12	4.55
	1.52	4.25	5.2
	1.47	4.5	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.45)	4.27 ↓ (4.32)	4.89 ↓ (5.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Merthyr Town
60.3%

Draw
21.2%

North Leigh
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

20.9%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.3%

19.6%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Merthyr Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

North Leigh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Merthyr Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Leigh than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Merthyr Town - North Leigh Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Merthyr is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches North Leigh is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Merthyr could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently North Leigh have a series of home games.

In this match Merthyr is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Merthyr won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Merthyr Town
English Southern League South Division
18.02.23	Metropolitan Police - Merthyr Town	0:2 ✺
14.02.23	Bracknell Town - Merthyr Town	1:0 ✺
11.02.23	Merthyr Town - Chesham United	0:1 ✺
07.02.23	Merthyr Town - Plymouth Parkway	0:1 ✺
04.02.23	Winchester City - Merthyr Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLLLT
- North Leigh
English Southern League South Division
21.02.23	North Leigh - Plymouth Parkway	1:2 ✺
18.02.23	North Leigh - Gosport Borough	0:1 ✺
11.02.23	North Leigh - Harrow Borough	2:0 ✺
07.02.23	North Leigh - Dorchester Town	2:0 ✺
04.02.23	Hayes & Yeading United - North Leigh	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
11.10.22	North Leigh - Merthyr Town	0:2

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