Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 28

Date: 28 February 2023, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	North Leigh		Tiverton Town

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.5	1.9
	3.35	3.5	1.8
	3.55	3.65	1.81
	3.22	3.9	1.96
	3.34	3.78	1.95
	3.5	3.6	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↑ (3.18)	3.66 ↑ (3.43)	1.88 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

North Leigh
26.9%

Draw
24.8%

Tiverton Town
48.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28%

25.9%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

25.5%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

North Leigh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Tiverton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Leigh than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tiverton Town than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

North Leigh - Tiverton Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. North Leigh will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Tiverton will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 13).

North Leigh has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Tiverton is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tiverton will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches North Leigh won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams North Leigh won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- North Leigh
English Southern League South Division
25.02.23	Merthyr Town - North Leigh	0:3 ✺
21.02.23	North Leigh - Plymouth Parkway	1:2 ✺
18.02.23	North Leigh - Gosport Borough	0:1 ✺
11.02.23	North Leigh - Harrow Borough	2:0 ✺
07.02.23	North Leigh - Dorchester Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.3 WLLWW
- Tiverton Town
English Southern League South Division
25.02.23	Salisbury - Tiverton Town	0:1 ✺
18.02.23	Tiverton Town - Chesham United	2:1 ✺
11.02.23	Metropolitan Police - Tiverton Town	4:1 ✺
07.02.23	Bracknell Town - Tiverton Town	2:1 ✺
04.02.23	Tiverton Town - Dorchester Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
07.12.22	Tiverton Town - North Leigh	2:1
English FA Trophy
08.10.22	North Leigh - Tiverton Town	4:3 penalties

North Leigh - Tiverton Town