Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 45

Date: 13 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Huish Park (Yeovil)


	Yeovil Town		Dartford

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.3	3.9
	1.83	3.5	4
	1.84	3.48	4.41
	1.82	3.48	4.41
	1.82	3.74	3.95
	1.8	3.45	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.44)	3.49 ↓ (4.46)	4.1 ↓ (5.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Yeovil Town
51%

Draw
26.5%

Dartford
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

20.6%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.4%

19.2%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yeovil Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yeovil Town's form might have worsened.

Dartford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dartford's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yeovil Town than the current prediction. (+17.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yeovil Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dartford than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dartford, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Yeovil Town - Dartford Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Coulson L. ⚽,
9', 1 - 1, Pearson S. ⚽,
42', 2 - 1, Morgan D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
70', 3 - 1, Fisher A. ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Yeovil is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dartford is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Dartford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Yeovil is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Yeovil won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yeovil Town
English National League South
11.04.24	Truro City - Yeovil Town	0:2 ✺
06.04.24	Yeovil Town - Worthing	1:3 ✺
01.04.24	Weymouth - Yeovil Town	Weymouth awarded ✺
29.03.24	Yeovil Town - Torquay United	3:0 ✺
23.03.24	Braintree Town - Yeovil Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WL?WW
- Dartford
English National League South
09.04.24	Dartford - Worthing	1:2 ✺
06.04.24	Havant & Waterlooville - Dartford	1:2 ✺
01.04.24	Dartford - Eastbourne Borough	0:2 ✺
29.03.24	Chelmsford City - Dartford	4:1 ✺
26.03.24	Truro City - Dartford	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
09.12.23	Dartford - Yeovil Town	2:2

Upcoming Matches