Match Info

Cymru South - Round 1

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday


	Treowen Stars		Pontypridd United

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.35	2.38
	2.59	3.42	2.42
	2.65	3.54	2.44	Watch
	2.55	3.35	2.35
	2.54	3.35	2.38
	2.50	3.35	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↓ (2.86)	3.39 ↓ (3.94)	2.39 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Treowen Stars
35.4%

Draw
26.7%

Pontypridd United
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

23%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Treowen Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Pontypridd United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pontypridd United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Treowen Stars - Pontypridd United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
31', 0 - 1, Angel L. ⚽,
45+3', 0 - 2, Edwards E. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
47', 1 - 2, Hillman T. ⚽,
61', 2 - 2, Hillman T. ⚽,
79', 2 - 3, Jones J. ⚽,

Preview

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Treowen won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1.7:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Treowen won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Pontypridd	9	6	1	2	23:16	7	19
8	Treowen	9	4	1	4	18:18	0	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Treowen Stars
Welsh Cymru South
18.04.26	Treowen Stars - Carmarthen Town	4:1 ✺
03.04.26	Trefelin - Treowen Stars	6:0 ✺
28.03.26	Treowen Stars - Ammanford	1:5 ✺
23.03.26	Treowen Stars - Afan Lido	0:1 ✺
20.03.26	Newport City - Treowen Stars	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WLLLW
- Pontypridd United
Welsh Cymru South
18.04.26	Pontypridd United - Caerau Ely	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Cardiff Draconians - Pontypridd United	2:2 ✺
04.04.26	Carmarthen Town - Pontypridd United	0:1 ✺
20.03.26	Trethomas Bluebirds - Pontypridd United	4:2 ✺
17.03.26	Cwmbran Celtic - Pontypridd United	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
14.03.26	Treowen Stars - Pontypridd United	2:2
Welsh FA Cup
22.11.25	Treowen Stars - Pontypridd United	1:2 penalties
Welsh Cymru South
03.10.25	Pontypridd United - Treowen Stars	5:2

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