The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Baglan Dragons 32.6%
Draw 25.8%
Pontypridd United 41.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
34.3%
25.4%
40.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.8%
24.3%
42.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Baglan Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
Pontypridd United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baglan Dragons than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontypridd United than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Baglan Dragons - Pontypridd United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 0 - 1, Stephens J. ⚽,
85', 1 - 1, Jones T. ⚽,
Preview
A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 5th and 3rd).
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Baglan Dragons could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Baglan Dragons has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:5 (averaging 1.3:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Baglan Dragons against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 5:2 goals (averaging 2.5:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Pontypridd
11
6
3
2
28:21
7
21
5
Baglan Dragons
11
5
2
4
12:12
0
17
Last Results with these Odds
Baglan Dragons - the odds 2.71 are the expected chance of winning is 34.26%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.