The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Baglan Dragons 33.2%
Draw 25.7%
Pontypridd United 41.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.3%
25.4%
40.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.8%
24.3%
42.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Baglan Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Pontypridd United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baglan Dragons than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontypridd United than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Baglan Dragons - Pontypridd United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 5th and 3rd).
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Pontypridd may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Baglan Dragons has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:5 (averaging 1.3:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Baglan Dragons against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 5:2 goals (averaging 2.5:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Pontypridd
9
6
1
2
23:16
7
19
5
Baglan Dragons
10
5
1
4
11:11
0
16
Last Results with these Odds
Baglan Dragons - the odds 2.71 are the expected chance of winning is 34.26%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.