Match Info

Cymru South - Round 9

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday


	Ynyshir Albions		Trethomas Bluebirds

	1	X	2
	2.32	3.30	2.55
	2.33	3.46	2.68
	2.46	3.63	2.58	Watch
	2.30	3.40	2.65
	2.26	3.38	2.61
	2.32	3.35	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.18)	3.42 ↓ (3.62)	2.6 ↓ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ynyshir Albions
38.8%

Draw
26.5%

Trethomas Bluebirds
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

24.9%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

24.1%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ynyshir Albions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Trethomas Bluebirds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ynyshir Albions than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trethomas Bluebirds than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Ynyshir Albions - Trethomas Bluebirds Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Facey D. ⚽,
12', 1 - 1, Ferreira N. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 10th and 9th).

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Trethomas Bluebirds could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Ynyshir Albions has faced a series of away games on the road.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Ynyshir Albions has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:6 (averaging 1.5:3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ynyshir Albions against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 2:2 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Ynyshir Albions	8	3	4	1	9:7	2	13
10	Trethomas Bluebirds	9	2	4	3	17:17	0	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ynyshir Albions
Welsh Cymru South
12.09.26	Carmarthen Town - Ynyshir Albions	2:2 ✺
31.08.26	Afan Lido - Ynyshir Albions	0:0 ✺
28.08.26	Newport City - Ynyshir Albions	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	Caerphilly Athletic - Ynyshir Albions	2:1 ✺
07.08.26	Caerau Ely - Ynyshir Albions	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 TTWLT
- Trethomas Bluebirds
Welsh Cymru South
04.09.26	Trethomas Bluebirds - Caerphilly Athletic	2:2 ✺
31.08.26	Carmarthen Town - Trethomas Bluebirds	2:3 ✺
28.08.26	Trethomas Bluebirds - Afan Lido	5:2 ✺
21.08.26	Pontypridd United - Trethomas Bluebirds	2:1 ✺
14.08.26	Trethomas Bluebirds - Caerau Ely	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
28.03.26	Ynyshir Albions - Trethomas Bluebirds	2:2
13.09.25	Trethomas Bluebirds - Ynyshir Albions	4:1

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