Match Info

AFC Champions League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Prince Abdullah al-Faisal Stadium (Jeddah)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Yokohama F. Marinos		Al-Nassr Riyadh

	1	X	2
				Watch
	7.5	5.25	1.34	Watch
	8.2	5.8	1.29
	9.73	6.3	1.26
	9.06	6.21	1.26	Watch
	7.5	5	1.33	Watch
	9.3	6.1	1.28	Watch
	8.2	5.8	1.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.5 ↑ (6.85)	5.78 ↑ (5.11)	1.29 ↓ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yokohama F. Marinos
11.1%

Draw
16.3%

Al-Nassr Riyadh
72.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.7%

18.3%

68%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.3%

17.7%

70.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yokohama F. Marinos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Al-Nassr Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Nassr Riyadh than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Yokohama F. Marinos - Al Nassr Riyadh Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Nassr (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Al-Nassr (1.92) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Users Predictions: Al-Nassr Riyadh will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Nassr (votes: 7 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Park Il-gyu (G) 27. Matsubara K. (C) 44. Deng T. 33. Suwama K. 2. Nagato K. 28. Yamane R. 45. Jean Claude 11. Yan 14. Uenaka A. 16. Kato R. 40. Tono D.	24. Bento (G) 2. Al Ghannam S. 3. Simakan M. 78. Lajami A. 12. Boushal N. 19. Al Hassan A. 11. Brozovic M. 9. Duran J. 25. Otavio 10. Mane S. 7. Ronaldo C. (C)
Substitutes
20. Amano J. 10. Anderson Lopes 46. Asada H. 7. Elber 21. Iikura H. (G) 17. Inoue K. 8. Kida T. 32. Kimura R. (G) 42. Mochizuki K. 48. Walsh S. 6. Watanabe K. 47. Yamamura K.	4. Al Fatil M. 22. Al Harbi A. (G) 17. Al Khaibari A. 36. Al Najjar R. (G) 8. Al Sulaiheem A. 20. Angelo 29. Ghareeb A. 27. Laporte A. 16. Marran M. 50. Qasheesh M. 80. Wesley 23. Yahya A.
Coaches
Kisnorbo P.	Pioli S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
15', Matsubara K. 🟨,
27', 0 - 1, Duran J. ⚽,
31', 0 - 2, Mane S. ⚽, Otavio (A),
38', 0 - 3, Ronaldo C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Kato R. ↓, Inoue K. ↑,
46', Jean Claude ↓, Watanabe K. ↑,
46', Yan ↓, Anderson Lopes ↑,
49', 0 - 4, Duran J. ⚽,
53', 1 - 4, Watanabe K. ⚽, Anderson Lopes (A),
57', Yamane R. 🟨,
58', Watanabe K. 🟨,
67', Ronaldo C. ↓, Wesley ↑,
67', Simakan M. ↓, Laporte A. ↑,
67', Al Hassan A. ↓, Yahya A. ↑,
67', Tono D. ↓, Elber ↑,
67', Yamane R. ↓, Kida T. ↑,
73', Watanabe K. 🟨,
77', Al Ghannam S. ↓, Qasheesh M. ↑,
86', Otavio ↓, Al Khaibari A. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Yokohama FM is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Al-Nassr is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Al-Nassr could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Al-Nassr is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yokohama F. Marinos
Japan J1 League
20.04.25	Urawa Red Diamonds - Yokohama F. Marinos	3:1 ✺
16.04.25	Yokohama F. Marinos - Shimizu S-Pulse	2:3 ✺
12.04.25	Avispa Fukuoka - Yokohama F. Marinos	2:1 ✺
09.04.25	Kawasaki Frontale - Yokohama F. Marinos	3:3 ✺
05.04.25	Yokohama F. Marinos - Tokyo Verdy	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLLTT
- Al-Nassr Riyadh
Saudi Professional League
22.04.25	Damac - Al-Nassr Riyadh	2:3 ✺
18.04.25	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Nassr Riyadh	2:1 ✺
12.04.25	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Riyadh	2:1 ✺
04.04.25	Al-Hilal - Al-Nassr Riyadh	1:3 ✺
14.03.25	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Kholood	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLWWW

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