Match Info

AFC Champions League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Prince Abdullah al-Faisal Stadium (Jeddah) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 2
Argentina	16:30	Disney+
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, TOD
Australia	05:30	Paramount+
Bangladesh	01:30	T Sports
Brazil	16:30	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	22:30	Diema Sport, Nova Sport, Play Diema Xtra
China	03:30	iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
Colombia	14:30	Disney+
Cote D Ivoire	19:30	RTI 1
Croatia	21:30	SportKlub 1
Finland	22:30	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
Germany	21:30	Sportdigital+
Hong Kong	03:30	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	01:00	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	02:30	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI+
Iran	23:00	IRIB Varzesh
Iraq	22:30	Al Rabiaa Sport
Israel	22:30	Sport 1
Japan	04:30	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	01:30	Sport+
Kyrgyzstan	01:30	KTRK Sports
Lithuania	22:30	Sport 1
Macao	03:30	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	03:30	Astro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka
Maldives	00:30	Medianet
Mexico	13:30	Disney+, ESPN
Mongolia	03:30	Premier Sports 1
Myanmar	02:00	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	21:30	Canal+, ESPN 1
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Norte
Peru	14:30	Disney+
Philippines	03:30	Matchday+
Portugal	20:30	Canal 11
Romania	22:30	AntenaPLAY
Russia	22:30	Okko Sport, TV Start
Saudi Arabia	22:30	Shahid VIP
Serbia	21:30	SportKlub 1
Slovenia	21:30	SportKlub 1
South Korea	04:30	Tving, tvN Sports
Spain	21:30	LaLiga+
Sweden	21:30	TV4 Play
Turkey	22:30	Spor Smart 1
Ukraine	22:30	Sport 1, Sport 3
United Arab Emirates	23:30	Abu Dhabi Sports 1
Uruguay	16:30	Disney+
Usa	15:30	CBS, Paramount+
Venezuela	15:30	Disney+
Vietnam	02:30	FPT Play
International	19:30	Disney+, Onefootball, Sport 1 Baltic, Triller TV+


	Yokohama F. Marinos		Al-Nassr Riyadh

	1	X	2
				Watch
	7.5	5.25	1.34	Watch
	8.2	5.8	1.29
	9.73	6.3	1.26
	9.06	6.21	1.26	Watch
	7.5	5	1.33	Watch
	9.3	6.1	1.28	Watch
	8.2	5.8	1.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.5 ↑ (6.85)	5.78 ↑ (5.11)	1.29 ↓ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yokohama F. Marinos
11.1%

Draw
16.3%

Al-Nassr Riyadh
72.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

13.7%

18.3%

68%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.3%

17.7%

70.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yokohama F. Marinos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Al-Nassr Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Nassr Riyadh than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Yokohama F. Marinos - Al Nassr Riyadh Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Nassr (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Al-Nassr (1.92) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Users Predictions: Al-Nassr Riyadh will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Nassr (votes: 7 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Park Il-gyu (G) 27. Matsubara K. (C) 44. Deng T. 33. Suwama K. 2. Nagato K. 28. Yamane R. 45. Jean Claude 11. Yan 14. Uenaka A. 16. Kato R. 40. Tono D.	24. Bento (G) 2. Al Ghannam S. 3. Simakan M. 78. Lajami A. 12. Boushal N. 19. Al Hassan A. 11. Brozovic M. 9. Duran J. 25. Otavio 10. Mane S. 7. Ronaldo C. (C)
Substitutes
20. Amano J. 10. Anderson Lopes 46. Asada H. 7. Elber 21. Iikura H. (G) 17. Inoue K. 8. Kida T. 32. Kimura R. (G) 42. Mochizuki K. 48. Walsh S. 6. Watanabe K. 47. Yamamura K.	4. Al Fatil M. 22. Al Harbi A. (G) 17. Al Khaibari A. 36. Al Najjar R. (G) 8. Al Sulaiheem A. 20. Angelo 29. Ghareeb A. 27. Laporte A. 16. Marran M. 50. Qasheesh M. 80. Wesley 23. Yahya A.
Coaches
Kisnorbo P.	Pioli S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
15', Matsubara K. 🟨,
27', 0 - 1, Duran J. ⚽,
31', 0 - 2, Mane S. ⚽, Otavio (A),
38', 0 - 3, Ronaldo C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Kato R. ↓, Inoue K. ↑,
46', Jean Claude ↓, Watanabe K. ↑,
46', Yan ↓, Anderson Lopes ↑,
49', 0 - 4, Duran J. ⚽,
53', 1 - 4, Watanabe K. ⚽, Anderson Lopes (A),
57', Yamane R. 🟨,
58', Watanabe K. 🟨,
67', Ronaldo C. ↓, Wesley ↑,
67', Simakan M. ↓, Laporte A. ↑,
67', Al Hassan A. ↓, Yahya A. ↑,
67', Tono D. ↓, Elber ↑,
67', Yamane R. ↓, Kida T. ↑,
73', Watanabe K. 🟨,
77', Al Ghannam S. ↓, Qasheesh M. ↑,
86', Otavio ↓, Al Khaibari A. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Yokohama FM is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Al-Nassr is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Al-Nassr could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Al-Nassr is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yokohama F. Marinos
Japan J1 League
20.04.25	Urawa Red Diamonds - Yokohama F. Marinos	3:1 ✺
16.04.25	Yokohama F. Marinos - Shimizu S-Pulse	2:3 ✺
12.04.25	Avispa Fukuoka - Yokohama F. Marinos	2:1 ✺
09.04.25	Kawasaki Frontale - Yokohama F. Marinos	3:3 ✺
05.04.25	Yokohama F. Marinos - Tokyo Verdy	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLLTT
- Al-Nassr Riyadh
Saudi Professional League
22.04.25	Damac - Al-Nassr Riyadh	2:3 ✺
18.04.25	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Nassr Riyadh	2:1 ✺
12.04.25	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Riyadh	2:1 ✺
04.04.25	Al-Hilal - Al-Nassr Riyadh	1:3 ✺
14.03.25	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Kholood	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLWWW

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