Match Info

J1 League - Round 8

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium (Kawasaki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT
China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Kawasaki Frontale		Yokohama F. Marinos

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.4	3.25	Watch
	2	3.7	3.25
	2.08	3.65	3.1	Watch
	2.17	3.95	3.15
	2.13	3.94	3.05	Watch
	2.1	3.6	2.9
	2.11	3.45	3.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.98)	3.67 ↓ (4.16)	3.17 ↓ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kawasaki Frontale
44.8%

Draw
25.6%

Yokohama F. Marinos
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

22.7%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

22.8%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kawasaki Frontale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Yokohama F. Marinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	11.1%	44.4%

Kawasaki Frontale - Yokohama F. Marinos Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Kawasaki will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Yokohama FM will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kawasaki: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
49. Brodersen S. (G) 29. Yamahara R. 32. Hayashi S. 2. Matsunagane Y. 13. Miura S. 8. Tachibanada K. 6. Yamamoto Y. 18. Konno K. 14. Wakizaka Y. (C) 23. Marcinho 9. Erison	31. Kimura R. (G) 13. Inoue T. 17. Quinones J. 22. Tsunoda R. 2. Kato R. 28. Yamane R. 34. Kimura T. 11. Croux J. (C) 7. Tono D. 30. Yuri Araujo 9. Tanimura K.
Substitutes
41. Ienaga A. 17. Ito T. 19. Kawahara S. 11. Kobayashi Y. 33. Lee G. (G) 28. Maruyama Y. 24. Miyagi T. 30. Noda H. 91. Romanic L.	40. Amano J. 26. David D. 24. Kondo T. 23. Miyaichi R. 1. Park Il-gyu (G) 35. Sekitomi K. 33. Suwama K. 32. Tanaka Y. 19. Tevis
Coaches
Hasebe S.	Oshima H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Tanimura K. ⚽, Croux J. (A),
45+2', Tono D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
46', Tono D. ↓, Amano J. ↑,
53', 0 - 2, Amano J. ⚽,
61', Hayashi S. ↓, Maruyama Y. ↑,
61', Marcinho ↓, Ito T. ↑,
62', Konno K. ↓, Ienaga A. ↑,
62', 0 - 3, Amano J. ⚽, Tanimura K. (A),
69', Croux J. ↓, Miyaichi R. ↑,
72', 0 - 4, Yuri Araujo ⚽,
76', Erison ↓, Romanic L. ↑,
76', Tachibanada K. ↓, Kobayashi Y. ↑,
78', 0 - 5, Quinones J. ⚽, Amano J. (A),
80', Tanimura K. ↓, David D. ↑,
80', Yuri Araujo ↓, Kondo T. ↑,
85', Kimura T. ↓, Tevis ↑,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kawasaki won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Kawasaki might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Kawasaki: Yamaichi S. (Illness)

There will not play in Yokohama FM: Asada H. (Knee Injury) Higuchi A. (Knee Injury) Matsubara K. (Knee Injury) Suzuki T. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Kawasaki: Osa R. (Injury)

There are questionable in Yokohama FM: Park Il-gyu (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kawasaki won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 36:27. (average 1.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Kawasaki won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:16. (average 2.1:1.6).

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Kawasaki Frontale: 6.04% Yokohama F. Marinos: 3.02%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Kawasaki Frontale	4	1	3	0	8:6	2	6
9	Yokohama F. Marinos	4	2	0	2	7:7	0	6

Last Results with these Odds

Kawasaki Frontale - the odds 1.98 are the expected chance of winning is 47.7%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kawasaki Frontale
Japan J1 League
18.03.26	Tokyo Verdy - Kawasaki Frontale	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Kashima Antlers - Kawasaki Frontale	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Kawasaki Frontale - Mito HollyHock	3:2 penalties ✺
21.02.26	Kawasaki Frontale - Tokyo	1:2 ✺
14.02.26	JEF United Chiba - Kawasaki Frontale	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWLW
- Yokohama F. Marinos
Japan J1 League
18.03.26	Mito HollyHock - Yokohama F. Marinos	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Yokohama F. Marinos - JEF United Chiba	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Tokyo - Yokohama F. Marinos	3:0 ✺
27.02.26	Yokohama F. Marinos - Tokyo Verdy	3:2 ✺
21.02.26	Yokohama F. Marinos - Urawa Red Diamonds	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
13.09.25	Yokohama F. Marinos - Kawasaki Frontale	0:3
09.04.25	Kawasaki Frontale - Yokohama F. Marinos	3:3
17.08.24	Kawasaki Frontale - Yokohama F. Marinos	1:3
03.04.24	Yokohama F. Marinos - Kawasaki Frontale	0:0
15.07.23	Yokohama F. Marinos - Kawasaki Frontale	0:1
17.02.23	Kawasaki Frontale - Yokohama F. Marinos	1:2
07.08.22	Kawasaki Frontale - Yokohama F. Marinos	2:1

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