Match Info

JAPAN: J1 League - Round 11

Date: 3 May 2024, Friday

Location: Nissan Stadium (Yokohama)

Referee: Koei K. (Jpn)


	Yokohama F. Marinos		Júbilo Iwata

	1	X	2
	1.73	4.2	4.2	Watch
	1.73	3.9	4.2
	1.73	3.95	3.95	Watch
	2.04	3.83	3.68
	1.78	4.19	4.29
	1.67	4	4
	1.71	4.21	4.34	Watch
	1.76	4	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.95)	4.04 ↑ (3.73)	4.08 ↑ (3.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yokohama F. Marinos
53.4%

Draw
23.4%

Júbilo Iwata
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

25.5%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

24.8%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yokohama F. Marinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Júbilo Iwata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Júbilo Iwata than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	12.5%	25%

Yokohama F. Marinos - Júbilo Iwata Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Yokohama FM will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Iwata will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Yokohama FM: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Popp W. (G) 27. Matsubara K. 4. Hatanaka S. 5. Eduardo 2. Nagato K. 8. Kida T. 14. Uenaka A. 29. Nam Tae-Hee 11. Yan 10. Anderson Lopes 7. Elber	1. Kawashima E. (G) 50. Uemura H. 3. Morioka R. 36. Ricardo Graca 4. Matsubara K. 14. Matsumoto M. 28. Kanuma N. 7. Uehara R. 37. Hirakawa R. 11. Germain R. 99. Matheus Peixoto
Substitutes
20. Amano J. 16. Kato R. 23. Miyaichi R. 18. Mizunuma K. 31. Shirasaki F. (G) 6. Watanabe K. 39. Watanabe T.	19. Bruno Jose 77. Fujiwara K. 31. Furukawa Y. 41. Ishida M. 26. Nishikubo S. 5. Ogawa D. 20. Tsuboi Y. (G)
Coaches
Kewell H.	Yokouchi A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Anderson Lopes 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', Elber 🟨,
58', Elber ↓, Miyaichi R. ↑,
59', Kida T. ↓, Watanabe K. ↑,
59', Uenaka A. ↓, Amano J. ↑,
61', Matsumoto M. ↓, Nishikubo S. ↑,
61', Hirakawa R. ↓, Furukawa Y. ↑,
64', 1 - 0, Anderson Lopes ⚽,
74', Yan ↓, Mizunuma K. ↑,
76', Kanuma N. 🟨,
80', Kanuma N. ↓, Bruno Jose ↑,
84', 1 - 1, Matheus Peixoto ⚽, Uehara R. (A),
89', Uehara R. ↓, Fujiwara K. ↑,
90+5', Eduardo 🟨,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 7 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Yokohama FM won 4.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Yokohama FM will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Yokohama FM won 12 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 30-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Yokohama FM won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yokohama F. Marinos
Japan J1 League
27.04.24	Cerezo Osaka - Yokohama F. Marinos	2:2 ✺
AFC Champions League
24.04.24	Yokohama F. Marinos - Ulsan HD	4:2 penalties ✺
17.04.24	Ulsan HD - Yokohama F. Marinos	1:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
13.04.24	Yokohama F. Marinos - Shonan Bellmare	2:2 ✺
10.04.24	Yokohama F. Marinos - Gamba Osaka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TWLTW
- Júbilo Iwata
Japan J1 League
27.04.24	Júbilo Iwata - Machida Zelvia	2:0 ✺
20.04.24	Avispa Fukuoka - Júbilo Iwata	2:2 ✺
Japan J League Cup
17.04.24	V-Varen Nagasaki - Júbilo Iwata	1:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
13.04.24	Júbilo Iwata - Nagoya Grampus	0:1 ✺
07.04.24	Kyoto Sanga - Júbilo Iwata	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J League Cup
19.04.23	Júbilo Iwata - Yokohama F. Marinos	0:1
08.03.23	Yokohama F. Marinos - Júbilo Iwata	1:0
Japan J1 League
12.10.22	Yokohama F. Marinos - Júbilo Iwata	0:1
29.05.22	Júbilo Iwata - Yokohama F. Marinos	0:2
05.10.19	Júbilo Iwata - Yokohama F. Marinos	0:2
26.05.19	Yokohama F. Marinos - Júbilo Iwata	4:0
22.09.18	Júbilo Iwata - Yokohama F. Marinos	1:2

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