The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Júbilo Iwata 35.4%
Draw 31.4%
Nagoya Grampus 33.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.4%
29.4%
39.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.8%
28.8%
40%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Júbilo Iwata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
Nagoya Grampus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nagoya Grampus might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Júbilo Iwata than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nagoya Grampus could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
30%
20%
Júbilo Iwata - Nagoya Grampus Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Iwata will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Nagoya will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%). Confidence interval (95%) for Iwata: 19% – 81%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Kawashima E. (G) 26. Nishikubo S. 6. Ito M. 36. Ricardo Graca 50. Uemura H. 14. Matsumoto M. 77. Fujiwara K. 7. Uehara R. 37. Hirakawa R. 99. Matheus Peixoto 11. Germain R.
16. Takeda Y. (G) 20. Mikuni K. 3. Ha Chang-Rae 24. Kawazura A. 7. Izumi R. 15. Inagaki S. 6. Yonemoto T. 66. Yamanaka R. 14. Morishima T. 17. Masui K. 18. Nagai K.
Substitutes
19. Bruno Jose 13. Fujikawa K. 31. Furukawa Y. 16. Leo Gomes 3. Morioka R. 18. Takahata K. 20. Tsuboi Y. (G)
25. Kubo T. 27. Nakayama K. 10. Patric 35. Pisano A. (G) 8. Shiihashi K. 34. Uchida T. 5. Yoshida H.
Coaches
Yokouchi A.
Hasegawa K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Masui K. ⚽, Yonemoto T. (A),
40', Uehara R. 🟨,
43', Masui K. 🟥,
45+3', Izumi R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Matsumoto M. ↓, Furukawa Y. ↑,
61', Ha Chang-Rae 🟨,
62', Fujiwara K. ↓, Fujikawa K. ↑,
62', Ito M. ↓, Morioka R. ↑,
68', Yamanaka R. ↓, Uchida T. ↑,
72', Germain R. 🟨,
75', Matheus Peixoto 🟨,
84', Nagai K. ↓, Patric ↑,
84', Yonemoto T. ↓, Shiihashi K. ↑,
Preview
Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 10).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Iwata won 2.
Recent matches Iwata is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Nagoya is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Iwata won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 10-22.
Including matches at home between the teams Iwata won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8-17.