Match Info

JAPAN: J1 League - Round 6

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Nissan Stadium (Yokohama)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Australia	Optus Sport
China	QQ Sports
Hong-kong	myTV SUPER
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Yokohama F. Marinos		Gamba Osaka

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.4	3.2	Watch
	2.15	3.4	3.1
	2.12	3.36	3.21	Watch
	2.13	3.5	3.47
	2.22	3.42	3.27	Watch
	2.2	3.3	3
	2.22	3.43	3.29	Watch
	2.14	3.4	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (1.97)	3.4 ↓ (3.49)	3.22 ↓ (3.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Yokohama F. Marinos
43.2%

Draw
27.6%

Gamba Osaka
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

26.9%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

26.2%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yokohama F. Marinos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Gamba Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yokohama F. Marinos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Yokohama F. Marinos - Gamba Osaka Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Yokohama FM will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Park Il-gyu (G) 23. Miyaichi R. 13. Quinones J. 15. Walsh S. 2. Nagato K. 11. Yan 28. Yamane R. 6. Watanabe K. 9. Tono D. 14. Uenaka A. 10. Anderson Lopes	22. Ichimori J. (G) 3. Handa R. 20. Nakatani S. 67. Sasaki S. 4. Kurokawa K. 6. Lavi N. 16. Suzuki T. 17. Yamashita R. 51. Mitsuta M. 10. Kurata S. 11. Jebali I.
Substitutes
20. Amano J. 46. Asada H. 7. Elber 21. Iikura H. (G) 17. Inoue K. 16. Kato R. 34. Kimura T. 33. Suwama K. 25. Suzuki T.	2. Fukuoka S. 1. Higashiguchi M. (G) 23. Hummet D. 47. Juan Alano 15. Kishimoto T. 27. Mito R. 33. Nakano S. 38. Nawata G. 7. Usami T.
Coaches
Holland S.	Poyatos D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Tono D. ⚽, Yan (A),
35', Kurata S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Kurata S. ↓, Usami T. ↑,
68', Park Il-gyu 🟨,
71', Yamashita R. ↓, Hummet D. ↑,
71', Suzuki T. ↓, Mito R. ↑,
75', 2 - 0, Uenaka A. ⚽, Tono D. (A),
84', Jebali I. ↓, Nawata G. ↑,
84', Mitsuta M. ↓, Juan Alano ↑,
84', Tono D. ↓, Inoue K. ↑,
85', Yan ↓, Suzuki T. ↑,
88', Inoue K. 🟨,
90+4', Watanabe K. ↓, Kimura T. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Yokohama FM won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Yokohama FM could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Yokohama FM will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Yokohama FM: Deng T. (Ankle Injury) Noguchi R. (Muscle Injury) Popp W. (Knee Injury) Suwama K. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Yokohama FM: Jean Claude (Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Yokohama FM won 11 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 34:27 (average 1.7:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Yokohama FM won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 16:14 (average 1.5:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yokohama F. Marinos
AFC Champions League
11.03.25	Yokohama F. Marinos - Shanghai Port	4:1 ✺
04.03.25	Shanghai Port - Yokohama F. Marinos	0:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
28.02.25	Yokohama F. Marinos - Shonan Bellmare	1:1 ✺
26.02.25	Yokohama F. Marinos - Yokohama FC	0:0 ✺
23.02.25	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Yokohama F. Marinos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WWTTL
- Gamba Osaka
Japan J1 League
08.03.25	Gamba Osaka - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	Tokyo Verdy - Gamba Osaka	0:1 ✺
26.02.25	Fagiano Okayama - Gamba Osaka	2:0 ✺
22.02.25	Gamba Osaka - Avispa Fukuoka	2:1 ✺
14.02.25	Gamba Osaka - Cerezo Osaka	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan Emperors Cup
27.10.24	Yokohama F. Marinos - Gamba Osaka	2:3 ET
Japan J1 League
06.07.24	Gamba Osaka - Yokohama F. Marinos	4:0
10.04.24	Yokohama F. Marinos - Gamba Osaka	2:0
12.08.23	Yokohama F. Marinos - Gamba Osaka	2:1
20.05.23	Gamba Osaka - Yokohama F. Marinos	0:2
08.10.22	Yokohama F. Marinos - Gamba Osaka	0:2
18.06.22	Gamba Osaka - Yokohama F. Marinos	1:2

Upcoming Matches