Match Info

ASIA: AFC Champions League - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 17 April 2024, Wednesday

Location: Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium (Ulsan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Paramount+
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Brazil	ESPN 4
Croatia	SportKlub
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Max
Germany	Sport 1+
Malaysia	Astro
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Ulsan HD		Yokohama F. Marinos

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3.6	3.25
	2.1	3.6	3.2	Watch
	2.16	3.75	3.35
	2.15	3.75	3.26
	2	3.5	3.2	Watch
	2.12	3.68	3.36	Watch
	2.08	3.55	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.19)	3.63 ↑ (3.53)	3.25 ↑ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ulsan HD
45%

Draw
26%

Yokohama F. Marinos
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

26.7%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

25.9%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulsan HD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Yokohama F. Marinos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulsan HD than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	27.3%	27.3%

Ulsan HD - Yokohama F. Marinos Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Ulsan will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Yokohama FM will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ulsan: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Jo Hyeon-Woo (G) 66. Seol Young-Woo 20. Hwang Seok-Ho 19. Kim Young-Gwon 13. Lee Myung-Jae 11. Um Won-Sang 14. Lee Dong-Gyeong 24. Lee Gyu-Seong 7. Ko Seung-Beom 18. Joo Min-Kyu 17. Ludwigson G.	42. Popp W. (G) 27. Matsubara K. 15. Kamijima T. 39. Watanabe T. 4. Hatanaka S. 14. Uenaka A. 35. Sakakibara K. 40. Amano J. 20. Yan 11. Anderson Lopes 23. Miyaichi R.
Substitutes
9. Adam M. 8. Bojanic D. 31. Esaka A. 1. Jo Su-Huk (G) 97. Kelvin 96. Kim Ji-Hyun 22. Kim Min-Hyuk 25. Kim Min-Woo 27. Lee Chung-Yong 5. Lim Jong-Eun 95. Matheus Sales 73. Yun Il-Lok	21. Iikura H. (G) 17. Inoue K. 24. Kato H. 16. Kato R. 13. Koike R. 18. Mizunuma K. 36. Murakami Y. 29. Nam Tae-Hee 19. Saneto Y. 31. Shirasaki F. (G) 28. Yamane R. 25. Yoshio K.
Coaches
Hong Myung-Bo	Kewell H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Lee Dong-Gyeong ⚽, Joo Min-Kyu (A),
34', Joo Min-Kyu 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Miyaichi R. ↓, Inoue K. ↑,
69', Ko Seung-Beom ↓, Matheus Sales ↑,
70', Lee Dong-Gyeong ↓, Kim Min-Hyuk ↑,
73', Uenaka A. ↓, Nam Tae-Hee ↑,
73', Sakakibara K. ↓, Yamane R. ↑,
81', Um Won-Sang ↓, Lee Chung-Yong ↑,
85', Amano J. 🟨,
88', Matsubara K. 🟨,
89', Watanabe T. ↓, Mizunuma K. ↑,
89', Amano J. ↓, Koike R. ↑,
90', Ludwigson G. ↓, Kelvin ↑,
90', Joo Min-Kyu ↓, Kim Ji-Hyun ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Ulsan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ulsan will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ulsan HD
South Korean K-League 1
13.04.24	Ulsan HD - Gangwon	4:0 ✺
06.04.24	Ulsan HD - Suwon	3:0 ✺
02.04.24	Daejeon Citizen - Ulsan HD	2:0 ✺
30.03.24	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Ulsan HD	2:2 ✺
17.03.24	Ulsan HD - Incheon United	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLTT
- Yokohama F. Marinos
Japan J1 League
13.04.24	Yokohama F. Marinos - Shonan Bellmare	2:2 ✺
10.04.24	Yokohama F. Marinos - Gamba Osaka	2:0 ✺
07.04.24	Vissel Kobe - Yokohama F. Marinos	1:2 ✺
03.04.24	Yokohama F. Marinos - Kawasaki Frontale	0:0 ✺
30.03.24	Nagoya Grampus - Yokohama F. Marinos	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TWWTL

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