Match Info

ASIA: AFC Champions League - Round 2

Date: 2 October 2024, Wednesday

Location: Nissan Stadium (Yokohama)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 4
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports
Croatia	SportKlub 4
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
Hong-kong	HOY TV
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	RCTI+
Israel	Sport 2
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kyrgyzstan	KTRK Sports
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola, Astro Go
Montenegro	Sportklub 4
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 1
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, Sportklub 4
Romania	AntenaPLAY
Russia	Okko Sport, TV Start
Slovenia	SportKlub 4
South-korea	Tving, tvN Sports
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Tajikistan	Futbol TV
Turkey	D Smart GO, Spor Smart 2
Ukraine	Sport 2
United-arab-emirates	Abu Dhabi Sports 1
Usa	Paramount+, Sport 24 At Sea Extra, Sport 24 Extra
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Disney+, Onefootball app, Sport 2 Baltic, Triller TV+


	Yokohama F. Marinos		Ulsan HD

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.2	3.7	2.8
	2.2	3.75	2.85
	2.23	3.93	2.88
	2.19	3.98	2.79	Watch
	2.15	3.75	2.7	Watch
	2.25	3.9	2.84	Watch
	2.2	3.75	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.34)	3.82 ↓ (3.85)	2.82 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yokohama F. Marinos
42.4%

Draw
24.4%

Ulsan HD
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

24.1%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

24.2%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yokohama F. Marinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Ulsan HD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulsan HD than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	37.5%	50%

Yokohama F. Marinos - Ulsan HD Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Yokohama FM will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Ulsan will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Iikura H. (G) 27. Matsubara K. (C) 15. Kamijima T. 39. Watanabe T. 2. Nagato K. 11. Yan 6. Watanabe K. 28. Yamane R. 7. Elber 10. Anderson Lopes 9. Nishimura T.	21. Jo Hyeon-Woo (G) 73. Yun Il-Lok 20. Hwang Seok-Ho 5. Lim Jong-Eun 2. Sim Sang-Min 32. Jung Woo-Young 7. Ko Seung-Beom 9. Arabidze G. 10. Kim Min-Woo (C) 31. Esaka A. 99. Yago Caju
Substitutes
20. Amano J. 46. Asada H. 45. Aziangbe K. 17. Inoue K. 24. Kato H. 16. Kato R. 13. Koike R. 18. Mizunuma K. 1. Popp W. (G) 35. Sakakibara K. 41. Terakado R. (G) 14. Uenaka A.	6. Bojanic D. 28. Jang See-Young 18. Joo Min-Kyu 1. Jo Su-Huk (G) 4. Kim Kee-Hee 26. Kim Min-Jun 19. Kim Young-Gwon 27. Lee Chung-Yong 8. Lee Gyu-Seong 13. Lee Myung-Jae 95. Matheus Sales 37. Moon Hyeon-Ho (G)
Coaches
Hutchinson J.	Kim P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Watanabe K. ⚽, Elber (A),
15', Hwang Seok-Ho 🟨,
16', Matsubara K. 🟨,
22', Kim Min-Woo 🟨,
44', 2 - 0, Nishimura T. ⚽, Yan (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Esaka A. ↓, Joo Min-Kyu ↑,
51', Kamijima T. 🟨,
56', Kim Min-Woo ↓, Lee Chung-Yong ↑,
61', Sim Sang-Min ↓, Lee Myung-Jae ↑,
61', Arabidze G. ↓, Kim Min-Jun ↑,
67', Elber ↓, Inoue K. ↑,
67', Matsubara K. ↓, Koike R. ↑,
72', Nishimura T. ↓, Amano J. ↑,
77', Ko Seung-Beom ↓, Lee Gyu-Seong ↑,
83', 3 - 0, Anderson Lopes ⚽, Yan (A),
90', Yan ↓, Mizunuma K. ↑,
90', Anderson Lopes ↓, Uenaka A. ↑,
90+2', 4 - 0, Mizunuma K. ⚽, Inoue K. (A),

Preview

Yokohama FM is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ulsan is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ulsan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Yokohama FM won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 2:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Yokohama FM won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yokohama F. Marinos
Japan J1 League
28.09.24	Yokohama F. Marinos - Tokyo	1:3 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
25.09.24	Yokohama F. Marinos - Renofa Yamaguchi	5:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
22.09.24	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Yokohama F. Marinos	6:2 ✺
AFC Champions League
17.09.24	Gwangju - Yokohama F. Marinos	7:3 ✺
Japan J1 League
13.09.24	Yokohama F. Marinos - Kyoto Sanga	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LWLLL
- Ulsan HD
South Korean K-League 1
27.09.24	Daejeon Citizen - Ulsan HD	0:1 ✺
22.09.24	Incheon United - Ulsan HD	0:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
18.09.24	Ulsan HD - Kawasaki Frontale	0:1 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
13.09.24	Ulsan HD - Gangwon	2:0 ✺
31.08.24	Ulsan HD - Pohang Steelers	5:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
24.04.24	Yokohama F. Marinos - Ulsan HD	4:2 penalties
17.04.24	Ulsan HD - Yokohama F. Marinos	1:0

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