Match Info

JAPAN: Emperors Cup - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 September 2024, Wednesday

Location: Nissan Stadium (Yokohama)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	SKY PerfecTV!, Sukachan 5


	Yokohama F. Marinos		Renofa Yamaguchi

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.5	7
	1.33	4.8	6.5
	1.35	5	8
	1.36	5.6	8.18
	1.34	5.38	7.44	Watch
	1.29	5	7.5
	1.33	5.4	7.8
	1.35	5	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.43)	5.21 ↑ (4.28)	7.55 ↑ (5.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yokohama F. Marinos
69.8%

Draw
17.9%

Renofa Yamaguchi
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.9%

21%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.4%

19.9%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yokohama F. Marinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yokohama F. Marinos's performance.

Renofa Yamaguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Renofa Yamaguchi than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Yokohama F. Marinos - Renofa Yamaguchi Predictions

Users Predictions: Yokohama F. Marinos will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Iikura H. (G) 10. Anderson Lopes 45. Aziangbe K. 7. Elber 17. Inoue K. 15. Kamijima T. 16. Kato R. 13. Koike R. 9. Nishimura T. 39. Watanabe T. 28. Yamane R.	1. Choi Hyung-Chan (G) 40. Hirase D. 13. Itakura T. 6. Kim Byeom-Yong 14. Numata K. 30. Okuyama Y. 8. Sato K. 38. Suenaga T. 11. Tanaka T. 4. Yooyen S. 16. Yoshioka M.
Substitutes
24. Kato H. 8. Kida T. 18. Mizunuma K. 1. Popp W. (G) 14. Uenaka A. 47. Yamamura K. 11. Yan	55. Igarashi T. 10. Ikegami J. 17. Ishikawa H. 26. Taguchi J. (G) 2. Takahashi H. 37. Tanabe K. 33. Yamase K.
Coaches
Hutchinson J.	Shigaki R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, Yamane R. ⚽,
23', 1 - 1, Okuyama Y. ⚽,
28', Yooyen S. 🟨,
31', Numata K. 🟨,
33', Itakura T. 🟨,
36', Aziangbe K. 🟥,
41', Numata K. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
51', 2 - 1, Elber ⚽, Anderson Lopes (A),
59', Koike R. ↓, Kato H. ↑,
59', Yamane R. ↓, Kida T. ↑,
59', Inoue K. ↓, Mizunuma K. ↑,
60', Yooyen S. ↓, Ikegami J. ↑,
67', Elber ↓, Yan ↑,
71', 3 - 1, Yan ⚽, Mizunuma K. (A),
73', Suenaga T. ↓, Igarashi T. ↑,
73', Sato K. ↓, Tanabe K. ↑,
76', Watanabe T. ↓, Yamamura K. ↑,
77', 4 - 1, Mizunuma K. ⚽,
79', Okuyama Y. ↓, Ishikawa H. ↑,
79', Itakura T. ↓, Yamase K. ↑,
86', 5 - 1, Anderson Lopes ⚽, Nishimura T. (A),

Preview

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Renofa Yamaguchi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Yokohama FM is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yokohama F. Marinos
Japan J1 League
22.09.24	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Yokohama F. Marinos	6:2 ✺
AFC Champions League
17.09.24	Gwangju - Yokohama F. Marinos	7:3 ✺
Japan J1 League
13.09.24	Yokohama F. Marinos - Kyoto Sanga	1:2 ✺
Japan J League Cup
08.09.24	Consadole Sapporo - Yokohama F. Marinos	3:1 ✺
04.09.24	Yokohama F. Marinos - Consadole Sapporo	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLLW
- Renofa Yamaguchi
Japan J2 League
21.09.24	JEF United Chiba - Renofa Yamaguchi	4:1 ✺
14.09.24	Shimizu S-Pulse - Renofa Yamaguchi	4:1 ✺
07.09.24	Renofa Yamaguchi - Tokushima Vortis	1:2 ✺
31.08.24	Renofa Yamaguchi - Fagiano Okayama	0:2 ✺
24.08.24	V-Varen Nagasaki - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLLLW

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