Match Info

JAPAN: J2 League - Round 31

Date: 14 September 2024, Saturday

Location: IAI Stadium Nihondaira (Shizuoka)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Shimizu S-Pulse		Renofa Yamaguchi

	1	X	2
	1.5	4	6.25	Watch
	1.52	3.75	5.25
	1.53	4	5.5	Watch
	1.53	4.3	6.5
	1.56	3.99	5.76	Watch
	1.5	3.9	5.8
	1.58	3.9	5.3	Watch
	1.53	4	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.64)	3.98 ↑ (3.84)	5.73 ↑ (5.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shimizu S-Pulse
60.5%

Draw
23.3%

Renofa Yamaguchi
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

24.4%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

23.1%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shimizu S-Pulse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Renofa Yamaguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

The ML Model estimate for Shimizu S-Pulse aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Renofa Yamaguchi than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Shimizu S Pulse - Renofa Yamaguchi Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Shimizu will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Renofa Yamaguchi will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shimizu: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
57. Gonda S. (G) 70. Hara T. 66. Sumiyoshi J. 3. Takahashi Y. 14. Yamahara R. 71. Nakamura R. 36. Uno Z. 11. Lucas Braga 33. Inui T. 10. Carlinhos 23. Kitagawa K.	21. Seki K. (G) 15. Mae T. 40. Hirase D. 3. Renan 13. Itakura T. 11. Tanaka T. 8. Sato K. 18. Aida Y. 20. Kawano K. 9. Wakatsuki Y. 19. Yamamoto S.
Substitutes
27. Gunji R. 5. Kitazume K. 13. Miyamoto K. 1. Oki Y. (G) 32. Takagi S. 99. Tanque D. 21. Yajima S.	28. Kobayashi S. 68. Noyori K. 30. Okuyama Y. 51. Sakai N. 48. Shimbo K. 26. Taguchi J. (G) 37. Tanabe K.
Coaches
Akiba T.	Shigaki R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Kitagawa K. ⚽, Yamahara R. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
58', Sato K. ↓, Tanabe K. ↑,
58', Tanaka T. ↓, Shimbo K. ↑,
58', Yamamoto S. ↓, Sakai N. ↑,
62', Renan 🟨,
66', 1 - 1, Wakatsuki Y. ⚽,
66', Wakatsuki Y. ↓, Kobayashi S. ↑,
70', Carlinhos ↓, Yajima S. ↑,
70', Uno Z. ↓, Miyamoto K. ↑,
73', 2 - 1, Yajima S. ⚽, Yamahara R. (A),
77', Inui T. ↓, Kitazume K. ↑,
77', Hirase D. ↓, Okuyama Y. ↑,
83', Kitagawa K. ↓, Tanque D. ↑,
83', Lucas Braga ↓, Gunji R. ↑,
86', 3 - 1, Yajima S. ⚽, Tanque D. (A),
89', 4 - 1, Tanque D. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Shimizu is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Renofa Yamaguchi is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Shimizu could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Shimizu is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Shimizu won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Shimizu won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shimizu S-Pulse
Japan J2 League
07.09.24	Shimizu S-Pulse - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:1 ✺
24.08.24	Kagoshima United - Shimizu S-Pulse	0:1 ✺
17.08.24	Shimizu S-Pulse - Ventforet Kofu	3:0 ✺
10.08.24	Shimizu S-Pulse - Thespakusatsu Gunma	4:0 ✺
03.08.24	Vegalta Sendai - Shimizu S-Pulse	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TWWWL
- Renofa Yamaguchi
Japan J2 League
07.09.24	Renofa Yamaguchi - Tokushima Vortis	1:2 ✺
31.08.24	Renofa Yamaguchi - Fagiano Okayama	0:2 ✺
24.08.24	V-Varen Nagasaki - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:2 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
21.08.24	Sagan Tosu - Renofa Yamaguchi	0:2 ✺
Japan J2 League
17.08.24	Fujieda MYFC - Renofa Yamaguchi	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
02.06.24	Renofa Yamaguchi - Shimizu S-Pulse	2:0
12.08.23	Shimizu S-Pulse - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:0
16.04.23	Renofa Yamaguchi - Shimizu S-Pulse	0:6
14.08.16	Shimizu S-Pulse - Renofa Yamaguchi	2:2
26.06.16	Renofa Yamaguchi - Shimizu S-Pulse	0:4

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