Match Info

National League - Round 22

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Location: VBS Community Stadium (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	DAZN
Argentina	DAZN
Australia	DAZN
Austria	DAZN
Belarus	DAZN
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	DAZN
Canada	DAZN Canada
Colombia	DAZN
Croatia	DAZN
Cyprus	DAZN
Czech-republic	DAZN
Denmark	DAZN
Ecuador	DAZN
Finland	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	DAZN
Hong-kong	DAZN
Hungary	DAZN
India	DAZN
Indonesia	DAZN
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	DAZN
Latvia	DAZN
Lithuania	DAZN
Malaysia	DAZN
Mexico	DAZN
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	DAZN
North-macedonia	DAZN
Norway	DAZN
Paraguay	DAZN
Philippines	DAZN
Poland	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	DAZN
Russia	DAZN
Serbia	DAZN
Slovenia	DAZN
South-africa	DAZN
South-korea	DAZN
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	DAZN
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
Thailand	DAZN
Ukraine	DAZN
United-arab-emirates	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
Uzbekistan	DAZN
Venezuela	DAZN
Vietnam	DAZN


	Sutton United		York City

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.5	1.45
	5	4.33	1.46
	5.5	4.55	1.47
	5.59	4.6	1.49	Watch
	5.75	4.4	1.44
	5.62	4.6	1.49
	5.66	4.75	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.52 ↑ (5.3)	4.53 ↑ (4.15)	1.47 ↓ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sutton United
16.7%

Draw
20.3%

York City
62.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.3%

22.2%

60.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.7%

21.5%

62.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sutton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

The ML Model estimate for Sutton United aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for York City than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Sutton United - York City Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sims J. (G) 25. Taylor J. (C) 39. Topalloj B. 26. Eccleston J. 8. Simper L. 37. Bell C. 42. Muller H. 23. Harris J. J. 15. Tizzard W. 34. Njoku B. 18. Ogbonna D.	1. Male H. (G) 5. Howe C. 3. Kitching M. 29. Johnson Z. 21. Boateng H. 8. Hunt A. 18. Batty D. 30. Newby A. 12. Grey J. 9. Stones J. 10. Pearce O.
Substitutes
47. Eze D. 13. Haigh Ch. (G) 28. Jennings K. 17. Jones A. 9. Rodari D. 12. Vaz E. 30. Woodyard A.	14. Brookes B. 2. Fallowfield R. 23. Felix J. 17. Hewitt C. 15. King J. 22. Olley G. 31. Sykes-Kenworthy G. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Tizzard W. ⚽, Muller H. (A),
25', 1 - 1, Boateng H. ⚽,
40', Harris J. J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 1 - 2, Pearce O. ⚽, Batty D. (A),
64', Eccleston J. 🟨,
69', Hunt A. ↓, Olley G. ↑,
69', Grey J. ↓, King J. ↑,
70', Bell C. ↓, Jennings K. ↑,
70', Eccleston J. ↓, Eze D. ↑,
75', Pearce O. 🟨,
78', Ogbonna D. 🟨,
84', Harris J. J. ↓, Rodari D. ↑,
84', Tizzard W. ↓, Jones A. ↑,
85', Eze D. 🟨,
87', Newby A. ↓, Brookes B. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Sutton is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

York is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, York is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sutton won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Sutton won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Sutton	13	5	3	5	14:18	-4	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sutton United
English National League
30.12.25	Southend United - Sutton United	1:0 ✺
26.12.25	Sutton United - Aldershot Town	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	Solihull Moors - Sutton United	4:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Walton & Hersham - Sutton United	4:1 ✺
English FA Cup
06.12.25	Sutton United - Shrewsbury Town	1:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL
- York City
English National League
30.12.25	Altrincham - York City	1:2 ✺
26.12.25	York City - Boston United	2:2 ✺
20.12.25	York City - Truro City	4:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Clitheroe - York City	2:1 penalties ✺
English National League
29.11.25	York City - Aldershot Town	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
09.08.25	York City - Sutton United	2:2
18.01.25	York City - Sutton United	1:2
24.08.24	Sutton United - York City	2:2
11.03.17	Sutton United - York City	2:2
29.10.16	York City - Sutton United	2:2

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