Match Info

National League - Round 22

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: VBS Community Stadium (London) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	16:00	DAZN
Argentina	12:00	DAZN
Australia	02:00	DAZN
Austria	16:00	DAZN
Belarus	18:00	DAZN
Bolivia	11:00	DAZN
Brazil	12:00	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	17:00	DAZN
Canada	10:00	DAZN Canada
Colombia	10:00	DAZN
Croatia	16:00	DAZN
Cyprus	17:00	DAZN
Czech Republic	16:00	DAZN
Denmark	16:00	DAZN
Ecuador	10:00	DAZN
Finland	17:00	DAZN
France	16:00	DAZN France
Germany	16:00	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	17:00	DAZN
Hong Kong	23:00	DAZN
Hungary	16:00	DAZN
India	20:30	DAZN
Indonesia	22:00	DAZN
Italy	16:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	00:00	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	21:00	DAZN
Latvia	17:00	DAZN
Lithuania	17:00	DAZN
Malaysia	23:00	DAZN
Mexico	09:00	DAZN
New Zealand	04:00	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	16:00	DAZN
North Macedonia	16:00	DAZN
Norway	16:00	DAZN
Paraguay	12:00	DAZN
Philippines	23:00	DAZN
Poland	16:00	DAZN
Portugal	15:00	DAZN / App
Romania	17:00	DAZN
Russia	18:00	DAZN
Serbia	16:00	DAZN
Slovenia	16:00	DAZN
South Africa	17:00	DAZN
South Korea	00:00	DAZN
Spain	16:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	16:00	DAZN
Switzerland	16:00	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	23:00	DAZN
Thailand	22:00	DAZN
Ukraine	17:00	DAZN
United Arab Emirates	19:00	DAZN
United Kingdom	15:00	DAZN
Uruguay	12:00	DAZN
Usa	10:00	DAZN USA
Uzbekistan	20:00	DAZN
Venezuela	11:00	DAZN
Vietnam	22:00	DAZN


	Sutton United		York City

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.5	1.45
	5	4.33	1.46
	5.5	4.55	1.47
	5.59	4.6	1.49	Watch
	5.75	4.4	1.44
	5.62	4.6	1.49
	5.66	4.75	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.52 ↑ (5.3)	4.53 ↑ (4.15)	1.47 ↓ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sutton United
16.7%

Draw
20.3%

York City
62.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

17.3%

22.2%

60.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.4%

21%

62.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sutton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for York City than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Sutton United - York City Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sims J. (G) 25. Taylor J. (C) 39. Topalloj B. 26. Eccleston J. 8. Simper L. 37. Bell C. 42. Muller H. 23. Harris J. J. 15. Tizzard W. 34. Njoku B. 18. Ogbonna D.	1. Male H. (G) 5. Howe C. 3. Kitching M. 29. Johnson Z. 21. Boateng H. 8. Hunt A. 18. Batty D. 30. Newby A. 12. Grey J. 9. Stones J. 10. Pearce O.
Substitutes
47. Eze D. 13. Haigh Ch. (G) 28. Jennings K. 17. Jones A. 9. Rodari D. 12. Vaz E. 30. Woodyard A.	14. Brookes B. 2. Fallowfield R. 23. Felix J. 17. Hewitt C. 15. King J. 22. Olley G. 31. Sykes-Kenworthy G. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Tizzard W. ⚽, Muller H. (A),
25', 1 - 1, Boateng H. ⚽,
40', Harris J. J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 1 - 2, Pearce O. ⚽, Batty D. (A),
64', Eccleston J. 🟨,
69', Hunt A. ↓, Olley G. ↑,
69', Grey J. ↓, King J. ↑,
70', Bell C. ↓, Jennings K. ↑,
70', Eccleston J. ↓, Eze D. ↑,
75', Pearce O. 🟨,
78', Ogbonna D. 🟨,
84', Harris J. J. ↓, Rodari D. ↑,
84', Tizzard W. ↓, Jones A. ↑,
85', Eze D. 🟨,
87', Newby A. ↓, Brookes B. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Sutton is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

York is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, York is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sutton won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Sutton won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Sutton	15	6	3	6	17:21	-4	21

Outrights of English National League for now

Sutton: 0.72%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sutton United
English National League
30.12.25	Southend United - Sutton United	1:0 ✺
26.12.25	Sutton United - Aldershot Town	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	Solihull Moors - Sutton United	4:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Walton & Hersham - Sutton United	4:1 ✺
English FA Cup
06.12.25	Sutton United - Shrewsbury Town	1:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL
- York City
English National League
30.12.25	Altrincham - York City	1:2 ✺
26.12.25	York City - Boston United	2:2 ✺
20.12.25	York City - Truro City	4:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Clitheroe - York City	2:1 penalties ✺
English National League
29.11.25	York City - Aldershot Town	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
09.08.25	York City - Sutton United	2:2
18.01.25	York City - Sutton United	1:2
24.08.24	Sutton United - York City	2:2
11.03.17	Sutton United - York City	2:2
29.10.16	York City - Sutton United	2:2

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