Match Info

National League - Round 24

Date: 26 December 2025, Friday

Location: York Community Stadium (York)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	DAZN
Argentina	DAZN
Australia	DAZN
Austria	DAZN
Belarus	DAZN
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	DAZN
Canada	DAZN Canada
Colombia	DAZN
Croatia	DAZN
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New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
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Poland	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	DAZN
Russia	DAZN
Serbia	DAZN
Slovenia	DAZN
South-africa	DAZN
South-korea	DAZN
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	DAZN
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
Thailand	DAZN
Ukraine	DAZN
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United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
Uzbekistan	DAZN
Venezuela	DAZN
Vietnam	DAZN


	York City		Boston United

	1	X	2
	1.2	5.75	11
	1.21	6.3	11
	1.21	6.59	10.7	Watch
	1.2	5.75	11
	1.22	6.09	11.7
	1.2	6.5	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.33)	6.16 ↑ (5.35)	11.23 ↑ (7.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

York City
76.7%

Draw
15%

Boston United
8.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.8%

17.4%

12.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.7%

16.7%

12.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in York City's performance.

Boston United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for York City than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boston United than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

York City - Boston United Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. York (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Boston United (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 7.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: York City will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Male H. (G) 4. Fagan-Walcott M. 5. Howe C. 3. Kitching M. 12. Grey J. 8. Hunt A. 18. Batty D. 30. Newby A. 28. Banks O. 9. Stones J. 10. Pearce O.	44. Barrett K. (G) 40. Lavinier M. 23. Crowther A. 26. Gallagher O. 17. Lankshear A. 19. Richards J. 6. Sloggett G. (C) 15. Carson M. 10. Maguire F. 8. Hill D. 14. John-Lewis L. N.
Substitutes
21. Boateng H. 14. Brookes B. 23. Felix J. 17. Hewitt C. 29. Johnson Z. 22. Olley G. 31. Sykes-Kenworthy G. (G)	24. Aboh K. 11. Donnelly K. 18. Fogarty T. 16. Hiwula J. 1. Lovett R. (G) 4. Teale C. 25. Waldock L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Stones J. 🟨,
23', Carson M. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Pearce O. ⚽, Grey J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Carson M. ↓, Teale C. ↑,
56', Teale C. 🟨,
64', Banks O. 🟥,
73', 1 - 1, Lankshear A. ⚽, Lavinier M. (A),
79', Newby A. ↓, Boateng H. ↑,
79', Hill D. ↓, Aboh K. ↑,
87', 1 - 2, Teale C. ⚽,
88', Grey J. ↓, Felix J. ↑,
88', Batty D. ↓, Olley G. ↑,
90+6', 2 - 2, Stones J. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, York won 1.

York is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Boston United is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, York is the clear favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, York won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 11:18. (average 0.9:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, York won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- York City
English National League
20.12.25	York City - Truro City	4:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Clitheroe - York City	2:1 penalties ✺
English National League
29.11.25	York City - Aldershot Town	5:1 ✺
22.11.25	Brackley Town - York City	2:3 ✺
15.11.25	York City - Morecambe	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWWW
- Boston United
English National League
20.12.25	Boston United - Aldershot Town	0:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Tamworth - Boston United	2:1 penalties ✺
English National League
06.12.25	Morecambe - Boston United	0:3 ✺
29.11.25	Yeovil Town - Boston United	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	Boston United - Carlisle United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
25.01.25	Boston United - York City	3:1
26.08.24	York City - Boston United	0:2
English National League North
21.05.22	York City - Boston United	2:0
22.03.22	York City - Boston United	0:1
26.10.21	Boston United - York City	2:1
08.02.20	Boston United - York City	3:1
29.10.19	York City - Boston United	2:1

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