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Current Win Probability
Young Boys 62.1%
Draw 20.2%
Basel 17.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.9%
21.7%
20.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.3%
20.5%
19.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Young Boys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
Basel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Young Boys than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basel than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
33.3%
0%
Young Boys - Basel Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Young Boys will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Keller M. (G) 27. Blum L. 30. Lauper S. 23. Benito L. (C) 33. Bukinac S. 16. Fassnacht C. 8. Gigovic A. 6. Fernandes E. 11. Monteiro J. 10. Sanches A. 99. Essende S.
13. Salvi M. (G) 6. Tsunemoto K. 24. Daniliuc F. (C) 55. Victory A. 29. Cisse M. 5. Metinho 4. Omeragic B. 8. Thorell L. 18. Sow A. 9. Celar Z. 11. Olaigbe K.
Substitutes
34. Etoski E. 17. Janko S. 18. Mall J. (G) 13. Pech D. 22. Schmidt I. 9. Sene M. K. 52. Tschanz N. 7. Virginius A. 5. Wuthrich G.
14. Bacanin A. 44. Harder J. 37. Koloto G. 17. Malouda A. 7. Otele P. 49. Renato (G) 27. Ruegg K. 10. Shaqiri X. 3. Vouilloz N.
Coaches
Seoane G.
Lichtsteiner S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 2)
7', 1 - 0, Monteiro J. ⚽,
14', 2 - 0, Essende S. ⚽, Blum L. (A),
32', 2 - 1, Olaigbe K. ⚽, Victory A. (A),
33', Thorell L. ↓, Shaqiri X. ↑,
37', 2 - 2, Sow A. ⚽, Metinho (A),
39', Victory A. 🟨,
44', Metinho 🟨,
44', Lichtsteiner S. 🟨,
45', Fassnacht C. 🟨,
45+1', 3 - 2, Sanches A. ⚽, Monteiro J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
67', Bukinac S. ↓, Schmidt I. ↑,
68', Fassnacht C. ↓, Virginius A. ↑,
71', 3 - 3, Victory A. ⚽, Daniliuc F. (A),
75', Metinho ↓, Harder J. ↑,
75', Olaigbe K. ↓, Otele P. ↑,
76', Monteiro J. 🟨,
79', Essende S. ↓, Sene M. K. ↑,
79', Monteiro J. ↓, Etoski E. ↑,
79', Fernandes E. ↓, Pech D. ↑,
87', Celar Z. ↓, Koloto G. ↑,
89', Blum L. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Young Boys won 2.
Young Boys is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Basel has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Young Boys may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Young Boys is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Young Boys: Andrews R.
(Muscle Injury)
Conte F.
(Knee Injury)
Imeri K.
(Inactive)
Kabeya B.
(Injury)
Mambwa O.
(Inactive)
Virginius A.
(Injury)
Zesiger C.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Basel: Hoch B.
(Knee Injury)
Kaio Eduardo
(Knee Injury)
Louis C.
(Injury)
Omlin J.
(Thigh Injury)
Sigua G.
(Injury)
We predict that Young Boys will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Young Boys won 10 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 44:24. (average 2.2:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Young Boys won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 30:8. (average 3:0.8).
Outrights of Swiss Super League for now
Young Boys: 25.06% Basel: 6.42%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Young Boys
9
5
4
0
31:18
13
19
4
Basel
9
4
1
4
17:17
0
13
Last Results with these Odds
Young Boys - the odds 1.63 are the expected chance of winning is 57.94%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.