Match Info

Super League - Round 2

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Stockhorn Arena (Thun)

Referee: Schnyder U. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Croatia	SportKlub 8
Germany	Laola1
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1, Play RTS, Play RTS, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play
Ukraine	Sport 2
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	Sport 2 Baltic


	Thun		Young Boys

	1	X	2
	3.7	4.2	1.76	Watch
	2.70	3.90	2.20
	3.45	4.15	1.82
	3.84	4.35	1.85
	3.44	4.34	1.88	Watch
	3.8	4.2	1.82
	3.51	4.18	1.84	Watch
	3.55	4.2	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↑ (2.37)	4.19 ↑ (3.93)	1.88 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Thun
27%

Draw
22.6%

Young Boys
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

24%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Thun's form might have worsened.

Young Boys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Young Boys's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.1%	13.5%	78.4%

Thun - Young Boys Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Thun will win (votes: 3 - 8.1%). Young Boys will win (votes: 29 - 78.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 13.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Young Boys: 65.1% – 91.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Thun (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Young Boys will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Thun (votes: 1 - 20%). Young Boys (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Steffen N. (G) 37. Dahler L. 5. Burgy N. 19. Bamert J. (C) 17. Balaruban A. 70. Reichmuth N. 8. Saiz F. 16. Roth J. 21. Derbaci D. 96. Labeau B. 11. Stewart L.	1. Keller M. (G) 27. Blum L. 5. Wuthrich G. 15. Zesiger C. (C) 3. Hadjam J. 8. Gigovic A. 6. Fernandes E. 10. Sanches A. 29. Imeri K. 11. Monteiro J. 99. Essende S.
Substitutes
9. Dursun F. 47. Fehr F. 33. Gutbub M. 27. Heule M. 30. Maier N. 78. Matoshi V. 54. Passavant L. 25. Spycher T. (G) 13. Zoukit N.	23. Benito L. 33. Bukinac S. 34. Etoski E. 30. Lauper S. 39. Males D. 18. Mall J. (G) 13. Pech D. 22. Schmidt I. 25. Tsimba E.
Coaches
Privitelli G. L.	Seoane G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
10', 0 - 1, Monteiro J. ⚽, Sanches A. (A),
24', 0 - 2, Blum L. ⚽,
33', 0 - 3, Fernandes E. ⚽, Blum L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Reichmuth N. ↓, Maier N. ↑,
46', Derbaci D. ↓, Matoshi V. ↑,
46', Balaruban A. ↓, Heule M. ↑,
53', Burgy N. 🟨,
55', 0 - 4, Essende S. (Penalty Awarded),
60', Essende S. 🟨,
60', Wuthrich G. ↓, Lauper S. ↑,
60', Monteiro J. ↓, Pech D. ↑,
63', Labeau B. ↓, Gutbub M. ↑,
66', Hadjam J. ↓, Bukinac S. ↑,
66', Blum L. ↓, Schmidt I. ↑,
68', 0 - 5, Imeri K. ⚽, Essende S. (A),
73', Roth J. ↓, Zoukit N. ↑,
76', Zesiger C. ↓, Benito L. ↑,
90', 0 - 6, Essende S. ⚽, Bukinac S. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Thun won 2.

Young Boys may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Thun: Kait M. (Foot Injury) Montolio G. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Young Boys: Andrews R. (Muscle Injury) Conte F. (Knee Injury) Fassnacht C. (Muscle Injury) Janko S. (Muscle Injury) Keller M. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Thun won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 31:59. (average 1.6:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Thun won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:23. (average 1.8:2.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Young Boys	9	5	4	0	31:18	13	19
9	Thun	10	3	1	6	17:27	-10	10

Last Results with these Odds

Thun - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 39.88%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Young Boys - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 36.07%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Thun
UEFA Champions League
28.07.26	Dinamo Zagreb - Thun	3:2 ET ✺
Swiss Super League
25.07.26	Luzern - Thun	1:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.07.26	Thun - Dinamo Zagreb	1:1 ✺
Swiss Super League
17.05.26	St. Gallen - Thun	1:1 ✺
14.05.26	Thun - Young Boys	3:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWTTL
- Young Boys
Swiss Super League
26.07.26	Young Boys - Sion	4:2 ✺
Club Friendly
10.07.26	Viktoria Plzeň - Young Boys	3:5 ✺
05.07.26	Kharkiv - Young Boys	0:2 ✺
01.07.26	Austria Lustenau - Young Boys	0:0 ✺
Swiss Super League
17.05.26	Young Boys - Sion	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Super League
14.05.26	Thun - Young Boys	3:8
08.03.26	Young Boys - Thun	1:2
25.01.26	Thun - Young Boys	4:1
28.09.25	Young Boys - Thun	4:2
Club Friendly
15.07.23	Young Boys - Thun	4:0
Swiss Cup
28.02.23	Thun - Young Boys	0:5
Club Friendly
14.01.23	Young Boys - Thun	2:0

Upcoming Matches