Match Info

BRAZIL: Gaucho - Troféu Farroupilha - Play Offs - Final

Date: 8 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio Olímpico Colosso da Lagoa (Erechim)


	Ypiranga		São Luiz

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.4	5.5	Watch
	1.66	3.3	5
				Watch
	1.74	3.25	5.24
	1.7	3.26	5.15	Watch
	1.67	3.4	5.5
	1.7	3.22	5.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.9)	3.31 ↑ (3.15)	5.31 ↑ (4.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ypiranga
54.7%

Draw
27.9%

São Luiz
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

29%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

28.2%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ypiranga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ypiranga's performance.

São Luiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and São Luiz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ypiranga than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ypiranga that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Luiz than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Ypiranga - São Luiz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Edson (G) 18. Emerson Galego 11. Felipe Marques 28. Heitor 6. Heitor Roca 10. Jean Pyerre 30. Joao Paulo 16. Lucas Ramos 7. Roger 2. Vitor Marinho 3. Willian Gomes	1. Guilherme Medina (G) 7. Adailson 4. Bruno Jesus 9. Da Silva 10. Felipe Tontini 2. Leo Oliveira 8. Luiz Henrique 11. Maikon Aquino 6. Marcio Duarte 3. Rafael Goiano 25. Tete
Substitutes
5. Charles Raphael 8. Clayton 9. Cristiano 99. Danielzinho 34. Fernando Costa (G) 4. Franklin 43. Luciano 22. Rian 19. Salas De La Hoz A. D. J. 26. Valber Junior 40. Ze Carlos (G)	13. Anderson 21. de Lima G. N. 15. Diego 12. Diego Monteiro (G) 20. Guilherme Garre 22. Luisinho 19. Marlon Martins 18. Matheuzinho 14. Ricardo Thalheimer

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, Emerson Galego ⚽,
17', Emerson Galego 🟨,
24', Adailson ↓, de Lima G. N. ↑,
32', Lucas Ramos 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 1, Da Silva ⚽,
45+6', Bruno Jesus 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Lucas Ramos ↓, Clayton ↑,
62', Bruno Jesus ↓, Marlon Martins ↑,
62', Luiz Henrique ↓, Diego ↑,
65', Emerson Galego ↓, Cristiano ↑,
65', Jean Pyerre ↓, Luciano ↑,
66', 2 - 1, Heitor Roca ⚽,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-0.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ypiranga won 2.

Ypiranga is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches São Luiz is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Ypiranga is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Ypiranga won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10:3 (average 1.4:0.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Ypiranga won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 1.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ypiranga FC
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
01.03.25	São Luiz - Ypiranga	0:2 ✺
24.02.25	Ypiranga - Monsoon	2:1 penalties ✺
20.02.25	Monsoon - Ypiranga	1:1 ✺
15.02.25	Ypiranga - Grêmio	0:1 ✺
12.02.25	Brasil de Pelotas - Ypiranga	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWTLW
- EC São Luiz
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
01.03.25	São Luiz - Ypiranga	0:2 ✺
23.02.25	Guarany de Bagé - São Luiz	0:2 ✺
20.02.25	São Luiz - Guarany de Bagé	0:1 ✺
15.02.25	Guarany de Bagé - São Luiz	0:1 ✺
12.02.25	São Luiz - Internacional RS	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
01.03.25	São Luiz - Ypiranga	0:2
29.01.25	Ypiranga - São Luiz	1:1
17.02.24	São Luiz - Ypiranga	0:0
21.01.23	São Luiz - Ypiranga	1:1
27.01.22	Ypiranga - São Luiz	2:1
27.02.21	São Luiz - Ypiranga	0:3
22.01.20	Ypiranga - São Luiz	1:0

Ypiranga - São Luiz: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide