Match Info

SWITZERLAND: Super League - Round 26

Date: 2 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade Municipal (Yverdon-les-Bains)

Referee: Piccolo L. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5


	Yverdon		Luzern

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3	3.4	2.2	Watch
	3.19	3.52	2.27
				Watch
	3	3.3	2.2
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↓ (3.36)	3.41 ↓ (3.62)	2.22 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yverdon
30.5%

Draw
27.4%

Luzern
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

25.8%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

25.8%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yverdon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Luzern has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yverdon than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luzern than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	0%	81.8%

Yverdon - Luzern Predictions

Users Predictions: Luzern will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Bernardoni P. (G) 32. Sauthier A. (C) 25. Marques C. 2. Tijani M. 18. Kongsro V. 37. Sylla F. 8. Legowski M. 28. Baradji M. 27. Tasar V. 9. Ake M. 19. Marchesano A.	1. Loretz P. (G) 2. Ottiger S. 5. Knezevic S. 46. Freimann B. M. 22. Dantas R. 8. Stankovic A. 29. Winkler L. 24. Owusu T. 20. Dorn P. (C) 17. Klidje T. 9. Grbic A.
Substitutes
77. Avdic A. 4. Diop D. T. 87. Esteves G. 24. Gnakpa J. 5. Grodem M. 22. Martin K. (G) 15. Nunez C. 16. Rouiller M. (G) 20. Tavares R.	18. Beloko N. 14. Ciganiks A. 16. Kadak J. 10. Karweina S. 3. Lofgren J. 7. Spadanuda K. 90. Vasic V. (G) 27. Villiger L.
Coaches
Tramezzani P.	Frick M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Legowski M. 🟨,
24', Grbic A. 🟨,
28', Freimann B. M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
49', 1 - 0, Ake M. ⚽, Legowski M. (A),
52', Winkler L. 🟨,
57', Winkler L. ↓, Beloko N. ↑,
57', Owusu T. ↓, Spadanuda K. ↑,
57', Dantas R. ↓, Ciganiks A. ↑,
63', 2 - 0, Baradji M. ⚽, Tasar V. (A),
64', Grbic A. ↓, Villiger L. ↑,
73', Sylla F. ↓, Gnakpa J. ↑,
74', Klidje T. ↓, Karweina S. ↑,
75', Spadanuda K. (Pen),
84', Villiger L. 🟨,
87', Gnakpa J. 🟨,
88', 2 - 1, Karweina S. (Pen),
89', 2 - 2, Stankovic A. ⚽, Ciganiks A. (A),
90', Ake M. ↓, Esteves G. ↑,
90+5', Marchesano A. ↓, Tavares R. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Yverdon won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Yverdon could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Luzern will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Yverdon: Kacuri D. (Injury) Kamenovic D. (Injury) Komano H. (Yellow Cards) Le Pogam W. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Luzern: Beka I. (Injury) Owusu T. (Injury) Rrudhani D. (Injury)

There are questionable in Yverdon: Rodrigues M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Luzern: Chader S. (Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Yverdon won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:8 (average 1.5:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Yverdon won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yverdon-Sport FC
Swiss Super League
22.02.25	Zürich - Yverdon	2:1 ✺
16.02.25	Yverdon - St. Gallen	1:0 ✺
08.02.25	Lausanne-Sport - Yverdon	4:1 ✺
05.02.25	Young Boys - Yverdon	6:1 ✺
02.02.25	Yverdon - Winterthur	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LWLLW
- FC Luzern
Swiss Super League
23.02.25	Luzern - Sion	2:1 ✺
15.02.25	Lugano - Luzern	2:0 ✺
09.02.25	Luzern - Winterthur	3:2 ✺
06.02.25	Basel - Luzern	2:1 ✺
02.02.25	Luzern - St. Gallen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Super League
30.11.24	Yverdon - Luzern	0:1
26.10.24	Luzern - Yverdon	2:3
18.05.24	Yverdon - Luzern	3:1
04.04.24	Luzern - Yverdon	1:0
23.01.24	Yverdon - Luzern	2:1
22.10.23	Luzern - Yverdon	2:1

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