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The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Zürich 33.1%
Draw 25.7%
Basel 41.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.6%
25.8%
46.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.4%
24.6%
48.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zürich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zürich's performance.
Basel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Basel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zürich than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zürich that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basel than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Basel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
25%
75%
Zürich - Basel Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Basel will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Basel: 45% – 100%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Lindner H. (G) 3. Hodza S. 2. Kamberi L. (C) 42. Hack A. 44. Walker S. 7. Krasniqi B. 17. Spadanuda K. 21. Schodler L. 38. Reichmuth M. 11. Emmanuel U. 19. Keny P. P.
13. Salvi M. (G) 6. Tsunemoto K. 24. Daniliuc F. (C) 55. Victory A. 29. Cisse M. 5. Metinho 4. Omeragic B. 8. Thorell L. 18. Sow A. 9. Celar Z. 11. Olaigbe K.
Substitutes
18. Bangoura M. 23. Berisha V. 8. Comenencia L. 14. Di Giusto N. 22. Kablan C. 9. Perea J. 60. Pinthus-Duah T. (G) 29. Reverson D. 27. Sauter I.
14. Bacanin A. 41. Doucoure J. 44. Harder J. 37. Koloto G. 17. Malouda A. 49. Renato (G) 27. Ruegg K. 10. Shaqiri X. 3. Vouilloz N.
Coaches
Koller M.
Lichtsteiner S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
3', Walker S. 🟨,
7', Victory A. 🟨,
8', 1 - 0, Keny P. P. (Penalty Awarded),
19', Thorell L. 🟨,
26', Omeragic B. 🟨,
45', Emmanuel U. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', Thorell L. ↓, Shaqiri X. ↑,
62', 1 - 1, Olaigbe K. ⚽, Celar Z. (A),
67', Walker S. ↓, Sauter I. ↑,
67', Spadanuda K. ↓, Perea J. ↑,
75', Kamberi L. 🟨,
76', Perea J. 🟨,
77', Reichmuth M. ↓, Comenencia L. ↑,
77', Krasniqi B. ↓, Bangoura M. ↑,
81', Sow A. ↓, Malouda A. ↑,
82', Cisse M. 🟨,
84', Hack A. 🟨,
85', 1 - 2, Celar Z. (Penalty Awarded),
86', Schodler L. ↓, Reverson D. ↑,
90+4', Metinho ↓, Harder J. ↑,
90+5', Olaigbe K. 🟨,
90+6', Celar Z. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zürich won 0.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Basel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Basel might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Zürich: Reverson D.
(Injury)
There will not play in Basel: Omlin J.
(Inactive)
Sigua G.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Zürich: Huber S.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Basel: Louis C.
(Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zürich won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 31:35. (average 1.6:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Zürich won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:19. (average 1.7:2.1).
Outrights of Swiss Super League for now
Basel: 6.42% Zurich: 1.66%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Basel
9
4
1
4
17:17
0
13
7
Zurich
9
3
2
4
14:20
-6
11
Last Results with these Odds
Zürich - the odds 3.4 are the expected chance of winning is 27.55%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Basel - the odds 2.01 are the expected chance of winning is 46.69%, but this team recently wins 53% of matches with these odds.