Match Info

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday


	Zürich		Thun

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.8	2.2	Watch
	2.70	3.90	2.25
	2.62	3.75	2.22
	2.8	4.2	2.34
	2.77	3.88	2.28	Watch
	2.7	3.75	2.25
	2.7	3.95	2.24	Watch
	2.65	3.9	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↓ (2.72)	3.89 ↓ (3.98)	2.25 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zürich
34.5%

Draw
24%

Thun
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

23.8%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

23.7%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zürich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

The chances for Thun have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zürich than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thun than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Zürich - Thun Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 7th in the Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 9th in the Super League (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zürich won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Zürich could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Zürich has recorded 9 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 34:34 (averaging 1.7:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Zürich against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 20:17 goals (averaging 2:1.7 per game).

Outrights of Swiss Super League for now

Zurich: 1.66% Thun: 1.28%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Zurich	9	3	2	4	14:20	-6	11
9	Thun	9	3	1	5	15:23	-8	10

Last Results with these Odds

Zürich - the odds 2.72 are the expected chance of winning is 34.77%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Zürich
Club Friendly
25.09.26	Zürich - Neuchâtel Xamax	3:1 ✺
Swiss Super League
19.09.26	Sion - Zürich	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	Zürich - Vaduz	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Grasshoppers - Zürich	2:2 ✺
01.09.26	Zürich - Young Boys	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WTWTL
- FC Thun
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Thun - Kriens	2:0 ✺
Swiss Super League
20.09.26	Vaduz - Thun	1:2 ✺
16.09.26	Thun - Servette	2:4 ✺
12.09.26	Thun - Grasshoppers	0:1 ✺
06.09.26	Sion - Thun	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Super League
21.03.26	Zürich - Thun	2:1
20.12.25	Thun - Zürich	4:2
23.08.25	Zürich - Thun	0:4
Club Friendly
06.07.24	Thun - Zürich	0:0
Swiss Super League
03.08.20	Zürich - Thun	3:3
01.07.20	Thun - Zürich	3:2
02.11.19	Thun - Zürich	0:1

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