Match Info

POLAND: Division 2 - Round 11

Date: 29 September 2024, Sunday

Location: KGHM Zaglebie Arena (Lubin)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Zagłębie 2 Lubin		Hutnik

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.4	2.3
	2.45	3.5	2.45
	2.66	3.75	2.4
	2.58	3.55	2.53	Watch
	2.45	3.6	2.25
	2.51	3.54	2.33	Watch
	2.45	3.5	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↓ (2.55)	3.55 ↑ (3.25)	2.39 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zagłębie 2 Lubin
36.3%

Draw
25.6%

Hutnik
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

27.6%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

27.6%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zagłębie 2 Lubin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Hutnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zagłębie 2 Lubin than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hutnik than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Hutnik Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matys M. (G) 8. Adamczyk H. 7. Dorozko J. 20. Dziewiatowski M. 4. Jach J. (C) 6. Kolan J. 10. Kruszelnicki P. 3. Lepczynski K. 11. Terlecki K. 21. Urbanski M. 9. Wozniak A.	1. Fratczak D. (G) 10. Glogowski K. 77. Glogowski M. 3. Jania F. 4. Kedziora L. 8. Misak P. 92. Rakels D. 11. Slomka W. 22. Sowinski M. 32. Tarasovs I. 6. Urbanczyk M.
Substitutes
19. Antkiewicz F. 12. Bieszczad K. (G) 14. Frankowski M. 17. Gruszecki D. 18. Kolanko K. 2. Lipp M. 16. Loboda J. 5. Moczynski B. 15. Tarkowski S.	9. Belych Y. 64. Gorski M. 45. Hoyo-Kowalski D. 70. Pietrzyk K. 15. Soprych O. 21. Szablowski K. 23. Tomal J. 31. Zagrodnik J. (G) 20. Zieba M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 🟨,
18', 1 - 0, Dziewiatowski M. ⚽,
33', 1 - 1, Tarasovs I. ⚽,
37', 🟨,
45+2', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', 🟨,
66', Sowinski M. ↓, Belych Y. ↑,
86', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Zagłębie 2 is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hutnik is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Zagłębie 2 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Zagłębie 2 won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Zagłębie 2 won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zagłębie 2 Lubin
Polish Division 2
21.09.24	KKS Kalisz - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	2:1 ✺
18.09.24	Polonia Bytom - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	4:2 ✺
15.09.24	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - ŁKS Łódź II	4:0 ✺
30.08.24	Resovia Rzeszów - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	3:3 ✺
25.08.24	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LLWTT
- Hutnik Kraków
Polish Cup
25.09.24	Hutnik - Piast Gliwice	3:4 penalties ✺
Polish Division 2
22.09.24	Hutnik - Resovia Rzeszów	3:2 ✺
17.09.24	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Hutnik	0:1 ✺
07.09.24	Hutnik - Olimpia Grudziądz	1:1 ✺
31.08.24	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Hutnik	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Cup
06.08.24	Hutnik - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	4:1 ET
Polish Division 2
02.12.23	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Hutnik	2:0
06.08.23	Hutnik - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	1:1
25.03.23	Hutnik - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	1:0
22.08.22	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Hutnik	4:2

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