Match Info

Division 2 - Round 25

Date: 4 April 2025, Friday

Location: KGHM Zaglebie Arena (Lubin)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Zagłębie 2 Lubin		Polonia Bytom

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.4	2
	3.65	3.65	1.8	Watch
	3.92	3.81	1.82	Watch
	3.6	3.5	1.83
	3.84	3.78	1.75
	3.65	3.65	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.63 ↓ (3.97)	3.63 ↓ (3.69)	1.83 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zagłębie 2 Lubin
25.1%

Draw
25.1%

Polonia Bytom
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23%

24.8%

52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5%

24.3%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zagłębie 2 Lubin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Polonia Bytom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zagłębie 2 Lubin than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Bytom than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Polonia Bytom Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Polonia Bytom (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Polonia Bytom will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matys M. (G) 3. Abrahamsson A. 10. Adamczyk H. 9. Antkiewicz F. 2. Dorozko J. 20. Dziewiatowski M. (C) 8. Fritzson L. 4. Jach J. 7. Kusztal P. 11. Laskowski K. 5. Moczynski B.	99. Holewinski A. (G) 11. Andrzejczak K. 23. Arak J. 26. Barczak N. 25. Konieczny D. 30. Krzyzak O. 8. Labojko M. 29. Piekarski A. 17. Steblecki S. 9. Wojtyra K. 7. Zielinski L.
Substitutes
. Bondarenko M. . Gregorski D. . Koczy K. . Kruszelnicki P. . Lepczynski K. . Mikolajewski D. . Slobodzian D. (G) . Wandachowicz B. . Zynek B.	15. Kwiatkowski O. 3. Michalski S. 19. Sarmiento J. 6. Scislak D. 16. Stefanski P. 1. Szymkowiak K. (G) 14. Szymusik G. 4. Szywacz R. 28. Wypart O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', Krzyzak O. 🟨,
58', Antkiewicz F. ↓, Mikolajewski D. ↑,
59', Wojtyra K. ↓, Sarmiento J. ↑,
60', Steblecki S. ↓, Scislak D. ↑,
63', Laskowski K. 🟨,
66', Zielinski L. 🟨,
68', Laskowski K. ↓, Kruszelnicki P. ↑,
71', 0 - 1, Krzyzak O. ⚽,
76', Zielinski L. ↓, Szymusik G. ↑,
76', Andrzejczak K. ↓, Kwiatkowski O. ↑,
76', Barczak N. ↓, Wypart O. ↑,
81', 🟨,
85', Abrahamsson A. 🟨,
86', Adamczyk H. ↓, Gregorski D. ↑,
90', Kruszelnicki P. 🟨,
90+3', Jach J. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Zagłębie 2 won 3.

Recent matches Zagłębie 2 is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Polonia Bytom in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently opponents have a series of home games.

In this match Polonia Bytom is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Zagłębie 2 won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:9 (average 1.5:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Zagłębie 2 won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:0 (average 2.3:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zagłębie 2 Lubin
Polish Division 2
29.03.25	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Resovia Rzeszów	4:1 ✺
15.03.25	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Olimpia Grudziądz	2:1 ✺
08.03.25	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	3:1 ✺
02.03.25	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Chojniczanka Chojnice	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
15.02.25	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - KKS Kalisz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWLLW
- Polonia Bytom
Polish Division 2
30.03.25	Polonia Bytom - Swit Skolwin	5:4 ✺
Club Friendly
19.03.25	Polonia Bytom - Raków Częstochowa II	2:0 ✺
Polish Division 2
16.03.25	Polonia Bytom - GKS Jastrzębie	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Polonia Bytom	0:0 ✺
28.02.25	Polonia Bytom - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
18.09.24	Polonia Bytom - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	4:2
02.03.24	Polonia Bytom - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	3:1
19.08.23	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Polonia Bytom	3:0
Polish Division 3 - Group III
23.04.22	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Polonia Bytom	2:0
12.09.21	Polonia Bytom - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	1:2
22.05.21	Polonia Bytom - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	1:0
17.10.20	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Polonia Bytom	2:0

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