Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 6

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: KGHM Zaglebie Arena (Lubin)

Referee: Raczkowski P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 6
Croatia	Arena Sport 4
Germany	Laola1
Poland	CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Ukraine	Sport 2
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	Sport 2 Baltic


	Zagłębie Lubin		Pogoń Szczecin

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.10	2.45	Watch
	2.80	3.30	2.40
	2.80	3.30	2.48
	3.14	3.40	2.42
	2.66	3.32	2.71	Watch
	3.00	3.30	2.35
	2.86	3.23	2.55	Watch
	2.80	3.20	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.62)	3.27 ↓ (3.37)	2.48 ↓ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zagłębie Lubin
33.1%

Draw
28.8%

Pogoń Szczecin
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

28.2%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

28.5%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zagłębie Lubin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Pogoń Szczecin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Lubin than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Zagłębie Lubin - Pogoń Szczecin Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Zagłębie Lubin will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Pogoń Szczecin will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Pogoń Szczecin (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Alomerovic Z. (G) 5. Lawniczak A. 4. Michalski D. 3. Yakuba R. 13. Grzybek M. (C) 26. Kolan J. 39. Kocaba F. 88. Mlinaric M. 44. Regula M. 71. Nowogonski K. 9. Kosidis M.	77. Cojocaru V. (G) 15. Ali H. 13. Keramitsis D. 41. Szalai At. 4. Leo Borges 3. Acosta K. 16. Dziczek P. (C) 18. Mukairu P. 35. Wojciechowski M. 21. Churlinov D. 10. Cuic F.
Substitutes
1. Buric J. (G) 8. Dabrowski D. 20. Dziewiatowski M. 38. Karasinski S. 37. Kerk S. 19. Lyczko S. 25. Nalepa M. 31. Orlikowski I. 99. Popielec C. 7. Sypek J. 18. Szymczak F. 94. Urbanski M.	6. Bieganski J. 30. Czaplinski J. 89. Fojut A. (G) 11. Grosicki K. 7. Juwara M. 47. Lawa N. 23. Mendy B. 17. Nsame J. 75. Ossowski A. 33. Peskovic A. (G) 8. Ulvestad F. 29. Willen L.
Coaches
Ojrzynski L.	Garcia O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Cuic F. 🟥,
25', Cojocaru V. 🟨,
25', Kocaba F. 🟨,
27', Kosidis M. 🟨,
31', Nowogonski K. 🟨,
33', Acosta K. 🟨,
44', Yakuba R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Churlinov D. ↓, Mendy B. ↑,
46', Nowogonski K. ↓, Kerk S. ↑,
47', Mendy B. 🟨,
52', Garcia O. 🟨,
63', Acosta K. ↓, Ulvestad F. ↑,
69', Kosidis M. ↓, Szymczak F. ↑,
69', Mlinaric M. ↓, Sypek J. ↑,
74', Wojciechowski M. ↓, Bieganski J. ↑,
84', Grzybek M. ↓, Lyczko S. ↑,
90+2', Mukairu P. ↓, Juwara M. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie Lubin won 1.

Zagłębie Lubin is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Pogoń Szczecin has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Pogoń Szczecin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Zagłębie Lubin: Hladun D. (Shoulder Injury)

There will not play in Pogoń Szczecin: Botis N. (Inactive) Molnar R. (Knee Injury) Ndiaye M. (Inactive) Pozo J. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Zawadzki J. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie Lubin won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 23:30. (average 1.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Zagłębie Lubin won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 0.9:1.3).

Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now

Pogon Szczecin: 5.55% Zaglebie: 1.64%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Pogon Szczecin	8	4	3	1	12:6	6	15
7	Zaglebie	9	4	3	2	11:10	1	15

Last Results with these Odds

Pogoń Szczecin - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 35.57%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zagłębie Lubin
Polish Ekstraklasa
23.08.26	Radomiak Radom - Zagłębie Lubin	0:0 ✺
15.08.26	Zagłębie Lubin - Śląsk Wrocław	2:1 ✺
02.08.26	Legia Warsaw - Zagłębie Lubin	3:1 ✺
27.07.26	Zagłębie Lubin - Piast Gliwice	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Zagłębie Lubin - Chrobry Głogów	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TWLWW
- Pogoń Szczecin
Polish Ekstraklasa
23.08.26	Pogoń Szczecin - Wisła Kraków	2:2 ✺
08.08.26	Pogoń Szczecin - Motor Lublin	3:1 ✺
03.08.26	Cracovia - Pogoń Szczecin	0:2 ✺
24.07.26	Pogoń Szczecin - Legia Warsaw	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
15.07.26	Sturm Graz - Pogoń Szczecin	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
04.07.26	Zagłębie Lubin - Pogoń Szczecin	2:0
Polish Ekstraklasa
15.05.26	Zagłębie Lubin - Pogoń Szczecin	0:1
24.11.25	Pogoń Szczecin - Zagłębie Lubin	5:1
01.02.25	Pogoń Szczecin - Zagłębie Lubin	1:0
Polish Cup
04.12.24	Pogoń Szczecin - Zagłębie Lubin	4:3
Polish Ekstraklasa
28.07.24	Zagłębie Lubin - Pogoń Szczecin	2:2
10.03.24	Pogoń Szczecin - Zagłębie Lubin	0:2

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