Match Info

AZERBAIJAN: I Liqa - Round 18

Date: 13 March 2025, Thursday


	Zagatala		Gabala

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	7.79	4.09	1.36
	7	3.6	1.44
	7.19	3.9	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.33 ↓ (7.34)	3.86 ↑ (3.6)	1.42 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zagatala
12.4%

Draw
23.5%

Gabala
64%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.3%

25.2%

62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.5%

25.7%

61.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zagatala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Gabala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagatala than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabala than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Zagatala - Gabala Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Musayev M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 1 - 1, Assumu J. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

Zagatala is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Gabala in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recently opponents have a series of guest games.

In this match Gabala is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Zagatala won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zagatala PFK
Azerbaijan First Division
07.03.25	Karvan - Zagatala	3:2 ✺
28.02.25	MOIK Baku - Zagatala	0:0 ✺
19.02.25	İmişli - Zagatala	1:0 ✺
14.02.25	Zagatala - Difai Ağsu	1:1 ✺
07.02.25	Baku Sporting - Zagatala	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LTLTT
- FK Gabala
Azerbaijan First Division
07.03.25	Cəbrayıl - Gabala	2:3 ✺
28.02.25	Gabala - Karvan	2:0 ✺
19.02.25	MOIK Baku - Gabala	0:4 ✺
13.02.25	İmişli - Gabala	1:2 ✺
06.02.25	Difai Ağsu - Gabala	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan First Division
13.09.24	Gabala - Zagatala	0:0

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