Match Info

Azerbaijan Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 October 2025, Wednesday


	Zagatala		Sumgayit

	1	X	2
				Watch
	9	5.15	1.24
	15.00	9.40	1.09	Watch
	10.6	5.2	1.23
	6.5	4.5	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.28 ↑ (6.93)	6.06 ↑ (5.5)	1.23 ↓ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zagatala
9.1%

Draw
15.3%

Sumgayit
75.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.2%

16.7%

70.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.2%

14.5%

60.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zagatala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Sumgayit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sumgayit's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagatala than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zagatala, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sumgayit than the current prediction. (-14.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sumgayit, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Zagatala - Sumgayit Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sumgayit (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Ramalingom A. ⚽,
34', 0 - 2, Ahmadzada N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
85', 0 - 3, Jankovic A. ⚽,

Preview

Zagatala has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sumgayit is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Sumgayit is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Zagatala won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zagatala PFK
Azerbaijan First Division
23.10.25	Zagatala - Mingachevir	2:3 ✺
15.10.25	Səbail - Zagatala	1:0 ✺
02.10.25	Zagatala - Baku Sporting	1:1 ✺
25.09.25	MOIK Baku - Zagatala	0:1 ✺
11.09.25	Zagatala - Cəbrayıl	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLTWW
- Sumgayit FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
25.10.25	Zira - Sumgayit	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Sumgayit - Karvan	4:1 ✺
04.10.25	Sumgayit - Turan Tovuz	0:3 ✺
28.09.25	Sabah - Sumgayit	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Sumgayit - Neftchi Baku	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan Cup
04.12.19	Sumgayit - Zagatala	2:0

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