Match Info

Division 2 - Round 19

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Grudziądzu (Grudziądz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	Olimpia Grudziądz		Unia Skierniewice

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.28	3.25	2.78	Watch
	2.27	3.35	3.08
	2.28	3.46	2.86	Watch
	2.26	3.57	2.89	Watch
	2.3	3.2	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.32)	3.37 ↑ (3.11)	2.92 ↑ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpia Grudziądz
40.7%

Draw
27.6%

Unia Skierniewice
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

28.7%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

30.2%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpia Grudziądz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Unia Skierniewice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Grudziądz than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unia Skierniewice than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Olimpia Grudziądz - Unia Skierniewice Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. Sobolewski S. (G) 10. Cichon K. 5. Czajka B. 44. Frelek D. (C) 18. Jarzec K. 7. Kaczmarek T. 77. Kobryn R. 9. Mas M. 26. Sewerzynski O. 93. Tsyupa I. 25. Zbiciak B.	1. Grocholski R. (G) 52. Gaska D. 17. Kaminski J. 8. Lawrynowicz I. 6. Makuch D. 26. Melich O. 28. Stepien M. (C) 3. Straus J. 21. Szmyd M. 10. Toporkiewicz K. 23. Turek K.
Substitutes
16. Fietz K. 31. Hallmann A. (G) 3. Klimczak A. . Koncewicz-Zylka P. 72. Koperski F. 70. Nowacki F. 69. Pawlowski M. 17. Siemaszko A. 42. Zablonski P.	5. Antosik J. 25. Jaroch J. 39. Kononov M. 20. Kosior M. 12. Murawski J. (G) 19. Soltysinski S. 11. Wojdakowski D. 99. Zyntek I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Kaminski J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
52', 0 - 1, Toporkiewicz K. ⚽,
53', 1 - 1, Frelek D. ⚽,
56', 1 - 2, Straus J. ⚽,
56', Cichon K. ↓, Fietz K. ↑,
57', Mas M. ↓, Siemaszko A. ↑,
59', Kobryn R. 🟨,
70', Gaska D. 🟨,
70', Lawrynowicz I. ↓, Kosior M. ↑,
78', Toporkiewicz K. ↓, Soltysinski S. ↑,
78', Gaska D. ↓, Kononov M. ↑,
78', Jarzec K. ↓, Pawlowski M. ↑,
86', Stepien M. 🟨,
86', Tsyupa I. ↓, Koperski F. ↑,
86', Kobryn R. ↓, Klimczak A. ↑,
89', Melich O. ↓, Jaroch J. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1).

Olimpia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Unia Skierniewice is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Olimpia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Olimpia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Olimpia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Olimpia Grudziądz - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 38.52%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpia Grudziądz
Polish Division 2
23.11.25	Stal Stalowa Wola - Olimpia Grudziądz	2:2 ✺
15.11.25	Olimpia Grudziądz - Swit Skolwin	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Hutnik - Olimpia Grudziądz	2:2 ✺
02.11.25	Olimpia Grudziądz - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1:0 ✺
Polish Cup
28.10.25	Olimpia Grudziądz - Śląsk Wrocław	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TTTWL
- Unia Skierniewice
Polish Division 2
22.11.25	Warta Poznań - Unia Skierniewice	0:2 ✺
16.11.25	Unia Skierniewice - KKS Kalisz	1:1 ✺
07.11.25	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Unia Skierniewice	1:2 ✺
31.10.25	Unia Skierniewice - ŁKS Łódź II	3:1 ✺
26.10.25	Resovia Rzeszów - Unia Skierniewice	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
02.08.25	Unia Skierniewice - Olimpia Grudziądz	1:2
Club Friendly
22.02.25	Olimpia Grudziądz - Unia Skierniewice	3:1

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