Match Info

POLAND: Division 1 - Round 10

Date: 20 September 2024, Friday

Location: Orlen Stadion (Płock)

Referee: Szczerbowicz M. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	Wisła Płock		Stal Rzeszów

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.7	3.75	Watch
	1.83	3.6	3.7
	1.87	3.75	3.75
	1.87	3.84	3.86
	1.9	3.73	3.69	Watch
	1.8	3.6	3.6
	1.85	3.72	3.71	Watch
	1.83	3.5	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.86)	3.68 ↓ (3.8)	3.7 ↓ (3.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wisła Płock
49.9%

Draw
25.1%

Stal Rzeszów
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

24.7%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

25.6%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wisła Płock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Stal Rzeszów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wisła Płock than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Rzeszów than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

Wisła Płock - Stal Rzeszów Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Wisła Płock will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Stal Rzeszów will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Gostomski M. (G) 44. Haglind-Sangre M. 77. Szymanski J. (C) 17. Misiak P. 24. Niepsuj D. 14. Kun D. 8. Pacheco D. 18. Jimenez J. 37. Tomczyk O. 66. Salvador I. 9. Kocyla D.	1. Bakowski K. (G) 2. Warczak P. 39. Kaczor M. 14. Koscielny K. 22. Simcak M. 21. Kadziolka S. 7. Lysiak K. 31. Thill S. 46. Lyczko S. 9. Bala T. 11. Prokic A. (C)
Substitutes
21. Brzozowski M. 11. Famulak M. 99. Gradecki B. (G) 16. Hiszpanski F. 22. Krawczyk P. 91. Kuchko G. 3. Kukulka K. 6. Pomorski K. 20. Sekulski L.	51. Gaza A. 91. Oleksy P. 45. Pasko K. 27. Pena C. 44. Piotrowski B. 48. Plichta K. 12. Raciniewski J. (G) 4. Synos M. 18. Wachowiak K.
Coaches
Misiura M.	Zub M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Thill S. ⚽,
37', Salvador I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Koscielny K. 🟨,
58', Niepsuj D. ↓, Sekulski L. ↑,
58', Salvador I. ↓, Brzozowski M. ↑,
58', Tomczyk O. ↓, Krawczyk P. ↑,
62', Misiak P. 🟨,
67', Bala T. ↓, Pena C. ↑,
74', Kocyla D. ↓, Hiszpanski F. ↑,
76', Bakowski K. 🟨,
78', Kun D. ↓, Pomorski K. ↑,
81', 1 - 1, Sekulski L. ⚽,
89', Prokic A. ↓, Piotrowski B. ↑,
90', Simcak M. ↓, Oleksy P. ↑,
90+6', Brzozowski M. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Wisła Płock will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Wisła Płock won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Wisła Płock won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wisła Płock
Polish Division 1
14.09.24	Stal Stalowa Wola - Wisła Płock	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
05.09.24	Widzew Łódź - Wisła Płock	3:0 ✺
Polish Division 1
31.08.24	Wisła Płock - GKS Tychy	0:0 ✺
26.08.24	Wisła Płock - Ruch Chorzów	3:2 ✺
21.08.24	Termalica Nieciecza - Wisła Płock	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLTWL
- Stal Rzeszów
Polish Division 1
14.09.24	Stal Rzeszów - Termalica Nieciecza	1:2 ✺
01.09.24	Pogoń Siedlce - Stal Rzeszów	1:1 ✺
24.08.24	Stal Rzeszów - Odra Opole	2:2 ✺
20.08.24	Chrobry Głogów - Stal Rzeszów	1:3 ✺
17.08.24	Stal Rzeszów - Warta Poznań	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
02.04.24	Wisła Płock - Stal Rzeszów	1:2
15.09.23	Stal Rzeszów - Wisła Płock	0:1

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