Match Info

CAF Confederation Cup - Play Offs - Final

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Cairo International Stadium (Cairo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, DStv Now, SuperSport Football Plus
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Egypt	On Time Sports 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Israel	5 LIVE Israel
Kenya	Gotv
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Sports 1, Sooka
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport Football Plus
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
South-africa	SABC Plus, SABC Sport, SuperSport Variety 3
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz


	Zamalek		USM Alger

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.6	5.25
	1.56	3.65	6.92
	1.51	4.26	5.74	Watch
	1.53	3.25	6
	1.58	3.2	6.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (2)	3.59 ↑ (3)	6.08 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zamalek
59.4%

Draw
25.5%

USM Alger
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

30%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

32.3%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zamalek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zamalek's performance.

USM Alger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and USM Alger might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zamalek than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zamalek that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for USM Alger than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that USM Alger could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	0%	7.7%

Zamalek - USM Alger Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Zamalek (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Zamalek will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
37. Soliman E. M. (G) 34. Hassan M. I. 24. Ismail M. 5. Abdelmaguid H. 13. Fatouh A. 18. Kaied A. 17. Shehata M. (C) 19. El Said A. 33. Juan Alvina 27. Dabbagh O. 32. Banza C.	25. Benbot O. (G) 19. Radouani S. (C) 4. Malone Junior C. 13. Dehiri H. 12. Loucif H. 14. Benzaza B. 8. Merili I. 6. Draoui Z. 30. Tendeng A. 29. Kamagate D. 7. Khaldi A.
Substitutes
1. Awad M. (G) 39. El Sayed M. 28. El Wensh Mahmoud 11. Esho 30. Jaziri S. 9. Mansy N. 26. Osama E. 12. Rabie A. 31. Sherif A.	3. Atmania S. 9. Benayad R. 24. Bouderbala M. 26. Boulares O. 23. Chetti I. 2. Kourdi W. 11. Likonza G. 20. Mahrouz R. 16. Soufi K. (G)
Coaches
Gamal M.	N'Diyae L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Dabbagh O. (Penalty Awarded),
30', Soliman E. M. ↓, Awad M. ↑,
45+6', Dehiri H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Kaied A. ↓, El Sayed M. ↑,
61', Banza C. ↓, Jaziri S. ↑,
65', El Said A. 🟨,
69', Merili I. ↓, Likonza G. ↑,
82', Dabbagh O. ↓, Mansy N. ↑,
82', Fatouh A. ↓, Esho ↑,
89', Kamagate D. ↓, Benayad R. ↑,
90+2', Benzaza B. ↓, Chetti I. ↑,
Penalties (7 - 8)
1, El Said A. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Draoui Z. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Esho (Penalty Awarded),
2, Khaldi A. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Abdelmaguid H. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Radouani S. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Mansy N. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Benayad R. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Jaziri S. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Loucif H. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Juan Alvina (Penalty Awarded),
6, Chetti I. (Penalty Awarded),
7, El Sayed M. (Penalty Awarded),
7, Dehiri H. (Penalty Awarded),
8, Shehata M. (Penalty Awarded),
8, Likonza G. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

First leg result: 0-1.

Zamalek has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

USM Alger is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

USM Alger may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Zamalek is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Zamalek won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Zamalek won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zamalek
CAF Confederation Cup
09.05.26	USM Alger - Zamalek	1:0 ✺
Egyptian Premier League
05.05.26	Smouha - Zamalek	0:1 ✺
01.05.26	Zamalek - Al Ahly Cairo	0:3 ✺
27.04.26	Zamalek - ENPPI	0:0 ✺
23.04.26	Zamalek - Pyramids	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWLTW
- USM Alger
Algerian Ligue 1
12.05.26	USM Alger - Mostaganem	1:1 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
09.05.26	USM Alger - Zamalek	1:0 ✺
Algerian Cup
30.04.26	USM Alger - Belouizdad	2:1 ✺
24.04.26	CA Batna - USM Alger	1:3 ET ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
19.04.26	Olympic Safi - USM Alger	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

CAF Confederation Cup
09.05.26	USM Alger - Zamalek	1:0
CAF Champions League
21.06.17	USM Alger - Zamalek	2:0
02.06.17	Zamalek - USM Alger	1:1

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