Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 35

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Ruta de la Plata (Zamora)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Zamora		Ponferradina

	1	X	2
	2	3.1	3.4
	2.08	3.1	3.45
	2.05	2.92	3.45
	2.13	3.24	3.44	Watch
	2.05	2.9	3.3
	2.08	3.06	3.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.18)	3.05 ↓ (3.19)	3.41 ↑ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zamora
43.8%

Draw
29.6%

Ponferradina
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

29.1%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

28.2%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zamora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Zamora - Ponferradina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sobron F. (G) 14. Moreno D. 2. Luengo Herrera L. M. 5. Ruiz E. 20. Codina M. 6. Garcia M. 16. Lozano M. 10. Ramos C. (C) 19. Abde 7. Kike 9. Losada M.	1. Prieto A. (G) 23. Jorrin M. 3. Novoa G. 5. Undabarrena E. 15. Sousa V. 16. Frimpong E. 22. Esquerdo V. 10. Valle B. (C) 8. Slavy 18. Vazquez B. 17. Keita A.
Substitutes
4. Athuman I. 15. Buron L. 17. Carbonell J. 21. Lopez M. 23. Lopez S. 3. Merchan D. 13. Pereda A. (G) 11. Romero Morillo A. 22. Sancho J. 27. Sy M.	2. Andujar D. 25. Barredo P. (G) 7. Calderon C. 9. Cortes J. 14. Fernandez X. 20. Ferrer P. 13. Jimenez A. (G) 12. Koke 26. Kysil V. 21. Mfulu O. 4. Moltenis B. 6. San Emeterio F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', 🟨,
29', 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
50', Losada M. 🟨,
57', 1 - 0, Ruiz E. ⚽,
58', Sousa V. ↓, Calderon C. ↑,
58', Slavy ↓, Koke ↑,
64', Luengo Herrera L. M. 🟨,
65', Ruiz E. 🟨,
68', 🟨,
72', Frimpong E. ↓, Cortes J. ↑,
77', Jorrin M. ↓, Fernandez X. ↑,
77', Keita A. ↓, Ferrer P. ↑,
80', Losada M. ↓, Carbonell J. ↑,
83', 🟨,
84', Abde 🟨,
90+6', 2 - 0, Ramos C. (Penalty Awarded),
90+9', 🟨,
90+10', 3 - 0, Carbonell J. (Penalty Awarded),
90+12', 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 6).

Zamora is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Ponferradina has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Zamora is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Zamora won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).

Including home match between the teams, Zamora won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Ponferradina	6	3	2	1	5:3	2	11
7	Zamora	6	3	1	2	8:6	2	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zamora CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
26.04.26	Ourense CF - Zamora	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	Zamora - Osasuna B	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Talavera de la Reina - Zamora	0:1 ✺
05.04.26	Zamora - Unionistas de Salamanca	2:3 ✺
28.03.26	Zamora - Pontevedra	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWWLW
- SD Ponferradina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
25.04.26	Ponferradina - Tenerife	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Ponferradina - Barakaldo	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Pontevedra - Ponferradina	3:1 ✺
04.04.26	Ponferradina - Mérida AD	4:1 ✺
29.03.26	Ourense CF - Ponferradina	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
19.10.25	Ponferradina - Zamora	2:0
12.04.25	Zamora - Ponferradina	1:2
03.11.24	Ponferradina - Zamora	2:2

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