Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 8

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Ruta de la Plata (Zamora) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Gonzalez Paez G. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Spain	18:45	DAZN Espana, Footballclub


	Zamora		Ponferradina

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.88	3.40
	2.15	2.90	3.20
	1.95	3.10	3.55
	2.25	2.92	3.62
	2.24	2.97	3.49	Watch
	2.20	2.75	3.55
	2.24	3.02	3.43
	2.22	3.05	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.05)	2.95 ↓ (3.15)	3.42 ↓ (3.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zamora
42.1%

Draw
31.1%

Ponferradina
26.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.3%

29.5%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

29.2%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zamora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Ponferradina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Zamora - Ponferradina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Piedra I. (G) 5. Gorjon A. 4. Dufur U. 3. Luengo Herrera L. M. 14. Moreno D. 18. Indias I. 10. Ramos C. (C) 23. Verges E. 21. Hidalgo A. 7. Carbonell J. 17. Urzain F.	1. Dominguez A. (G) 22. Hernandez E. 5. Undabarrena E. (C) 4. Jelbat A. 23. Roig A. 10. Valle B. 6. San Emeterio F. 11. Bari Q. 19. Munoz P. 18. de Leon J. 15. Vacas O.
Substitutes
12. Albert J. 13. Arbol F. (G) 15. Costa M. 24. Gomez E. 9. Losada M. 19. Mascaro P. 16. Navarro I. 2. Rodriguez G.	25. Abedzadeh A. (G) 13. Alvin (G) 2. Andujar D. 14. Aranda J. L. 7. Calderon C. 17. Chibozo J. 21. Faye S. 24. Koke 3. Nieto S. 12. Sabroso U. 9. Slavy 16. Tounkara N.
Coaches
Cano O.	Nafti M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Gorjon A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 1 - 0, Carbonell J. ⚽,
58', Ramos C. 🟨,
61', Munoz P. 🟨,
62', Hidalgo A. ↓, Costa M. ↑,
62', Vacas O. ↓, Slavy ↑,
73', 1 - 1, Slavy ⚽, Munoz P. (A),
74', Hernandez E. ↓, Calderon C. ↑,
74', Roig A. ↓, Nieto S. ↑,
80', Moreno D. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
80', Ramos C. ↓, Navarro I. ↑,
80', Urzain F. ↓, Mascaro P. ↑,
81', San Emeterio F. 🟨,
85', de Leon J. ↓, Tounkara N. ↑,
85', Munoz P. ↓, Chibozo J. ↑,
89', Verges E. 🟨,
89', Indias I. ↓, Losada M. ↑,
90+2', Jelbat A. 🟨,

Preview

An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 7th and 9th).

Zamora has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Performances by Ponferradina have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Zamora holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Zamora has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:6 (averaging 1.5:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Zamora against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 4:2 goals (averaging 2:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Ponferradina	9	3	4	2	6:6	0	13
12	Zamora	9	3	3	3	10:9	1	12

Last Results with these Odds

Zamora - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 45.32%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zamora CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
10.10.26	Mirandés - Zamora	1:1 ✺
04.10.26	Zamora - Coria	2:0 ✺
26.09.26	CD Extremadura - Zamora	0:1 ✺
20.09.26	Zamora - Lugo	1:2 ✺
13.09.26	Arenas Club de Getxo - Zamora	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 TWWLW
- SD Ponferradina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
11.10.26	Ponferradina - Real Avilés	0:2 ✺
04.10.26	Ponferradina - Mirandés	1:0 ✺
27.09.26	Pontevedra - Ponferradina	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Ponferradina - Mérida AD	1:0 ✺
13.09.26	Deportivo A Coruña B - Ponferradina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
02.05.26	Zamora - Ponferradina	3:0
19.10.25	Ponferradina - Zamora	2:0
12.04.25	Zamora - Ponferradina	1:2
03.11.24	Ponferradina - Zamora	2:2

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