Match Info

Date: 24 July 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio Agustín Tovar (Barinas)

Referee: Velasquez A. (Ven)


	Zamora		Zulia

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.5	5.25	Watch
	1.57	3.35	5.35
	1.61	3.45	5
	1.65	3.1	5.67
	1.57	3.4	6
	1.66	3.5	5.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.82)	3.38 ↑ (3.2)	5.46 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zamora
56.5%

Draw
26.8%

Zulia
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

28.3%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

28.4%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zamora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zamora's performance.

Zulia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zulia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zamora that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zulia than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zulia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81%	9.5%	9.5%

Zamora - Zulia Predictions

Users Predictions: Zamora will win (17 of 21 users predict this - 80.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.15% – 97.75%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Copa Libertadores ~ Play Offs) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Copa Sudamericana ~ Play Offs)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Zamora won 3.

Zamora is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Zulia is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Zamora could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Zamora is a favorite.

Last 23 head-to-head matches Zamora won 10 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 31-29.

Including matches at home between the teams Zamora won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 21-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zamora FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
17.07.22	Portuguesa Acarígua - Zamora	2:3 ✺
09.07.22	Zamora - Deportivo Lara	2:0 ✺
03.07.22	Academia Puerto Cabello - Zamora	0:0 ✺
16.06.22	Zamora - Deportivo La Guaira	2:3 ✺
11.06.22	Zamora - Monagas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWTLW
- Zulia FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
17.07.22	Zulia - Carabobo	2:0 ✺
10.07.22	Estudiantes de Mérida - Zulia	2:0 ✺
02.07.22	Caracas - Zulia	3:1 ✺
17.06.22	Zulia - Hermanos Colmenares	2:1 ✺
10.06.22	Academia Puerto Cabello - Zulia	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
28.04.22	Zulia - Zamora	0:2
02.10.21	Zamora - Zulia	2:1
12.08.21	Zulia - Zamora	1:1
27.06.21	Zamora - Zulia	2:1
06.05.21	Zulia - Zamora	3:3
26.07.19	Zulia - Zamora	1:0
27.01.19	Zamora - Zulia	4:1

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