Match Info

Date: 17 July 2022, Sunday

Location: Sede Deportiva Lino Alonso (Maracaibo)

Referee: Torres R. (Ven)


	Zulia		Carabobo

	1	X	2
	2.9	3	2.3
	2.9	2.95	2.29
	3.04	2.78	2.36
	2.9	3	2.35
	2.95	3.2	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.55)	2.99 ↑ (2.88)	2.34 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zulia
30.9%

Draw
30.4%

Carabobo
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

31.5%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

31.3%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zulia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Carabobo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carabobo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zulia than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carabobo than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carabobo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Zulia - Carabobo Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Zulia will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Copa Sudamericana ~ Play Offs) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Copa Sudamericana ~ Play Offs)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Zulia won 1.

Recent matches Zulia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Carabobo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Zulia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Zulia won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 23-26.

Including matches at home between the teams Zulia won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zulia FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
10.07.22	Estudiantes de Mérida - Zulia	2:0 ✺
02.07.22	Caracas - Zulia	3:1 ✺
17.06.22	Zulia - Hermanos Colmenares	2:1 ✺
10.06.22	Academia Puerto Cabello - Zulia	2:2 ✺
04.06.22	Zulia - Academia Puerto Cabello	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LLWTW
- Carabobo FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
08.07.22	Carabobo - Academia Puerto Cabello	0:1 ✺
03.07.22	Deportivo La Guaira - Carabobo	3:2 ✺
17.06.22	Carabobo - Deportivo Lara	2:2 ✺
12.06.22	Caracas - Carabobo	0:0 ✺
03.06.22	Carabobo - Caracas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
06.05.22	Carabobo - Zulia	1:0
08.03.20	Zulia - Carabobo	2:1
06.10.19	Zulia - Carabobo	1:2
12.04.19	Carabobo - Zulia	3:1
Copa Venezuela
03.10.18	Carabobo - Zulia	2:2
09.09.18	Zulia - Carabobo	1:1
Venezuelan Primera Division
19.08.18	Zulia - Carabobo	2:1

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