Match Info

Date: 2 July 2022, Saturday

Location: Estadio Olímpico (Caracas)


	Caracas		Zulia

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.6	4.4	Watch
	1.7	3.35	4.1
	1.64	3.65	4.4
	1.63	3.73	4.36
	1.73	3.3	4.5
	1.65	3.8	5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.97)	3.57 ↑ (3.3)	4.46 ↑ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caracas
54.4%

Draw
25.3%

Zulia
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

27.7%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

31.5%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caracas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Caracas's performance.

Zulia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zulia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caracas than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zulia than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	27.3%	18.2%

Caracas - Zulia Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Caracas will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Zulia will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Caracas: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Copa Sudamericana ~ Play Offs) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Copa Sudamericana ~ Play Offs)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Caracas won 1.

Caracas is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Zulia is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Zulia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Caracas will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 22 head-to-head matches Caracas won 10 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 32-24.

Including matches at home between the teams Caracas won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 20-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caracas FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
18.06.22	Universidad Central - Caracas	1:0 ✺
12.06.22	Caracas - Carabobo	0:0 ✺
03.06.22	Carabobo - Caracas	0:0 ✺
29.05.22	Caracas - Universidad Central	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
26.05.22	Athletico Paranaense - Caracas	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LTTLL
- Zulia FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
17.06.22	Zulia - Hermanos Colmenares	2:1 ✺
10.06.22	Academia Puerto Cabello - Zulia	2:2 ✺
04.06.22	Zulia - Academia Puerto Cabello	4:1 ✺
26.05.22	Hermanos Colmenares - Zulia	0:2 ✺
21.05.22	Zulia - Caracas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.2 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
21.05.22	Zulia - Caracas	1:0
16.02.20	Caracas - Zulia	4:0
01.09.19	Caracas - Zulia	1:2
03.06.19	Caracas - Zulia	1:2
25.05.19	Zulia - Caracas	3:2
10.03.19	Zulia - Caracas	0:0
17.10.18	Zulia - Caracas	2:3

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