Match Info

Date: 9 July 2022, Saturday

Location: Estadio Agustín Tovar (Barinas)

Referee: Valenzuela J. (Ven)


	Zamora		Deportivo Lara

	1	X	2
	1.93	3	3.9	Watch
	1.95	3	3.55
	1.93	3	3.85
	2.04	2.58	4.41
	1.95	3	3.9
	2.02	3.13	3.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.93)	2.95 ↓ (3)	3.92 ↓ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zamora
46.1%

Draw
30.8%

Deportivo Lara
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

30.4%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

30.4%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zamora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Deportivo Lara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Lara than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	37.5%	12.5%

Zamora - Deportivo Lara Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Zamora will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Deportivo Lara will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zamora: 25.5% – 74.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Copa Libertadores ~ Play Offs) and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Zamora won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Zamora could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Zamora will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 22 head-to-head matches Zamora won 7 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 29-28.

Including matches at home between the teams Zamora won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 19-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zamora FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
03.07.22	Academia Puerto Cabello - Zamora	0:0 ✺
16.06.22	Zamora - Deportivo La Guaira	2:3 ✺
11.06.22	Zamora - Monagas	2:0 ✺
02.06.22	Monagas - Zamora	0:1 ✺
28.05.22	Deportivo La Guaira - Zamora	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TLWWT
- Deportivo Lara
Venezuelan Primera Division
01.07.22	Deportivo Lara - Universidad Central	0:0 ✺
17.06.22	Carabobo - Deportivo Lara	2:2 ✺
09.06.22	Deportivo Lara - Metropolitanos	1:2 ✺
05.06.22	Metropolitanos - Deportivo Lara	3:1 ✺
26.05.22	Deportivo Lara - Carabobo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
12.05.22	Deportivo Lara - Zamora	0:2
09.03.20	Zamora - Deportivo Lara	2:1
06.10.19	Zamora - Deportivo Lara	1:1
14.04.19	Deportivo Lara - Zamora	3:0
05.12.18	Zamora - Deportivo Lara	4:0
02.12.18	Deportivo Lara - Zamora	1:1
29.07.18	Deportivo Lara - Zamora	2:0

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