Match Info

Date: 10 June 2022, Friday

Location: Complejo Deportivo Socialista (Carabobo)

Referee: Soto R. (Ven)


	Academia Puerto Cabello		Zulia

	1	X	2
	2	3	3.5	Watch
	2.05	2.7	3.75
	2.01	2.95	3.65
	1.99	2.76	4.04
	2.05	3	3.6
	2.11	3.24	3.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.97)	2.94 ↓ (3.01)	3.67 ↓ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Academia Puerto Cabello
44.5%

Draw
30.8%

Zulia
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

30.2%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

33.1%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Academia Puerto Cabello has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Zulia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Academia Puerto Cabello than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Academia Puerto Cabello, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zulia than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.7%	33.3%	40%

Academia Puerto Cabello - Zulia Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Puerto Cabello will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Zulia will win (votes: 6 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zulia: 15.2% – 64.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Copa Sudamericana ~ Play Offs)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Puerto Cabello won 2.

Puerto Cabello is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Zulia is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Zulia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Puerto Cabello will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Puerto Cabello won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Puerto Cabello won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Academia Puerto Cabello
Venezuelan Primera Division
04.06.22	Zulia - Academia Puerto Cabello	4:1 ✺
29.05.22	Academia Puerto Cabello - Metropolitanos	0:2 ✺
20.05.22	Zamora - Academia Puerto Cabello	1:0 ✺
14.05.22	Academia Puerto Cabello - Carabobo	1:1 ✺
08.05.22	Universidad Central - Academia Puerto Cabello	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLTT
- Zulia FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
04.06.22	Zulia - Academia Puerto Cabello	4:1 ✺
26.05.22	Hermanos Colmenares - Zulia	0:2 ✺
21.05.22	Zulia - Caracas	1:0 ✺
15.05.22	Zulia - Estudiantes de Mérida	3:2 ✺
06.05.22	Carabobo - Zulia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
04.06.22	Zulia - Academia Puerto Cabello	4:1
Copa Venezuela
30.10.19	Zulia - Academia Puerto Cabello	0:1
23.10.19	Academia Puerto Cabello - Zulia	2:0
Venezuelan Primera Division
28.08.19	Academia Puerto Cabello - Zulia	3:3
17.02.19	Zulia - Academia Puerto Cabello	2:1
28.10.18	Zulia - Academia Puerto Cabello	1:1
18.05.18	Academia Puerto Cabello - Zulia	0:0

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