Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 30

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday


	Zamudio		Pasaia

	1	X	2
	2.12	3.1	3.1
	2.18	3.1	3.28
	2.17	3.14	3.24	Watch
	2.15	3	3.1
	2.23	3.36	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.18)	3.14 ↓ (3.2)	3.16 ↑ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zamudio
42.1%

Draw
29.1%

Pasaia
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

28.7%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

27.5%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Zamudio have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Pasaia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zamudio than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pasaia than the current prediction. (-1%)

Zamudio - Pasaia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Garai O. ⚽,
29', 2 - 0, Garai O. ⚽,
33', 3 - 0, Garai O. ⚽,
43', 🟥,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
49', 4 - 0, ⚽,
55', 5 - 0, ⚽,
68', 6 - 0, ⚽,
76', 7 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 12).

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Zamudio might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Zamudio won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Pasaia	5	3	1	1	7:6	1	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zamudio SD
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
01.04.26	Lagun Onak - Zamudio	5:0 ✺
29.03.26	Zamudio - Deusto	2:0 ✺
19.03.26	Portugalete - Zamudio	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Zamudio - San Ignacio	0:0 ✺
08.03.26	Derio - Zamudio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLTL
- Pasaia KE
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
02.04.26	Pasaia - Santurtzi	1:3 ✺
29.03.26	Real Sociedad C - Pasaia	2:0 ✺
19.03.26	Zarautz KE - Pasaia	0:3 ✺
14.03.26	Pasaia - Lagun Onak	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Deusto - Pasaia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
06.12.25	Pasaia - Zamudio	1:1

Zamudio - Pasaia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide