Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 27

Date: 11 February 2023, Saturday

Location: La Romareda (Zaragoza)

Referee: Caparros I. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	TV2 Sport X


	Zaragoza		Deportivo Alavés

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.8	3	Watch
	2.65	2.7	2.87
	2.7	2.88	2.88
	2.89	2.72	3.13
	2.7	2.86	2.96	Watch
	2.7	2.75	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↓ (2.9)	2.79 ↑ (2.75)	2.97 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zaragoza
34.5%

Draw
33.8%

Deportivo Alavés
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

34.6%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zaragoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Deportivo Alavés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	53.8%	30.8%

Zaragoza - Deportivo Alavés Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Zaragoza will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Alavés will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Zaragoza has the most likely position - 11 (8.83%), has project points - 56, has currently - 33, has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (10%), has a very small chance of promoted (4%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Alavés has the most likely position - 3 (16.92%), has project points - 71, has currently - 46, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (55%), has a chance of promoted (44%), has a small chance of win league (14%).

This event has quality 38, importance 44, match rating 41. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Zaragoza won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Zaragoza won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Zaragoza won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Zaragoza
Spanish LaLiga2
05.02.23	FC Andorra - Zaragoza	0:1 ✺
30.01.23	Zaragoza - Ponferradina	0:0 ✺
22.01.23	Sporting de Gijón - Zaragoza	1:0 ✺
14.01.23	Villarreal B - Zaragoza	2:3 ✺
08.01.23	Zaragoza - Mirandés	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WTLWT
- Deportivo Alavés
Spanish LaLiga2
04.02.23	Deportivo Alavés - Eibar	2:0 ✺
29.01.23	Mirandés - Deportivo Alavés	1:3 ✺
21.01.23	Deportivo Alavés - Racing Santander	3:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
17.01.23	Deportivo Alavés - Sevilla	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
13.01.23	Real Oviedo - Deportivo Alavés	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
04.11.22	Deportivo Alavés - Zaragoza	1:0
Club Friendly
07.08.19	Zaragoza - Deportivo Alavés	0:0
06.08.16	Deportivo Alavés - Zaragoza	0:0
Spanish LaLiga2
06.03.16	Deportivo Alavés - Zaragoza	0:0
03.10.15	Zaragoza - Deportivo Alavés	1:0
22.02.15	Deportivo Alavés - Zaragoza	4:0
20.09.14	Zaragoza - Deportivo Alavés	1:0

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