Match Info

LaLiga - Round 37

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere (Oviedo)

Referee: Munuera J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
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Iraq	Almanasa
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Vietnam	SCTV Online


	Real Oviedo		Deportivo Alavés

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.3	2	Watch
	3.95	3.25	2.02	Watch
	4.1	3.35	2.11
	4.21	3.22	2	Watch
	3.8	3.2	2
	4.11	3.45	2.07	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.01 ↑ (2.84)	3.3 ↓ (3.36)	2.03 ↓ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Oviedo
23.9%

Draw
29.1%

Deportivo Alavés
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

28.2%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

29.3%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Oviedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Oviedo's form might have worsened.

Deportivo Alavés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Alavés's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Oviedo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Alavés, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.8%	8.4%	86.7%

Real Oviedo - Deportivo Alavés Predictions

Users Predictions: 83 users predict this event. Oviedo will win (votes: 4 - 4.8%). Alavés will win (votes: 72 - 86.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 8.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alavés: 79.4% – 94%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Alavés (1.44) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Oviedo (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Deportivo Alavés will win (17 of 17 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. Oviedo (votes: 1 - 5%). Alavés (votes: 19 - 95%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Moldovan H. (G) 24. Ahijado L. 4. Costas D. 12. Calvo D. 25. Lopez J. 23. Fonseca N. 11. Colombatto S. 10. Hassan H. 8. Cazorla S. (C) 5. Reina A. 9. Vinas F.	1. Sivera A. (G) 14. Tenaglia N. 16. Koski V. 24. Parada V. 7. Perez A. 18. Guridi J. 8. Blanco A. (C) 4. Suarez D. 21. Rebbach A. 22. Diabate I. 11. Martinez T.
Substitutes
3. Alhassane R. 2. Bailly E. 17. Borbas T. 16. Carmo D. 7. Chaira I. 13. Escandell A. (G) 15. Fernandez T. 19. Fores A. 21. Ilic L. 26. Narvaez M. (G) 6. Sibo K. 22. Vidal N.	10. Alena C. 15. Boye L. 20. Calebe 9. Diaz M. 13. Fernandez R. (G) 6. Guevara A. 19. Ibanez P. 17. Jonny Otto 34. Manas A. 5. Pacheco J. 23. Protesoni C. 3. Yusi
Coaches
Almada G.	Sanchez Flores Q.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Martinez T. ⚽, Rebbach A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Fonseca N. ↓, Fernandez T. ↑,
46', Rebbach A. ↓, Yusi ↑,
48', Fernandez T. 🟨,
65', Vinas F. 🟨,
66', Colombatto S. ↓, Chaira I. ↑,
69', Diabate I. ↓, Manas A. ↑,
69', Suarez D. ↓, Ibanez P. ↑,
71', Ahijado L. 🟨,
79', Vinas F. ↓, Fores A. ↑,
79', Hassan H. ↓, Borbas T. ↑,
82', Martinez T. ↓, Boye L. ↑,
85', Ahijado L. ↓, Vidal N. ↑,
87', Guridi J. ↓, Protesoni C. ↑,
90+4', Yusi 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 16).

Oviedo is Relegated to LaLiga2

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oviedo won 1.

Oviedo is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Alavés has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Oviedo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Alavés will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Oviedo: Dendoncker L. (Injury) Domingues B. (Knee Injury) Ejaria O. (Injury)

There will not play in Alavés: Garces F. (Suspended)

There are questionable in Alavés: Boye L. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Oviedo won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.7:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Oviedo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Alaves: 0.4%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11:6	5	11

Last Results with these Odds

Real Oviedo - the odds 2.84 are the expected chance of winning is 33.37%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Oviedo
Spanish LaLiga
14.05.26	Real Madrid - Real Oviedo	2:0 ✺
10.05.26	Real Oviedo - Getafe	0:0 ✺
03.05.26	Betis - Real Oviedo	3:0 ✺
26.04.26	Real Oviedo - Elche	1:2 ✺
23.04.26	Real Oviedo - Villarreal	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTLLT
- Deportivo Alavés
Spanish LaLiga
13.05.26	Deportivo Alavés - Barcelona	1:0 ✺
09.05.26	Elche - Deportivo Alavés	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	Deportivo Alavés - Athletic Bilbao	2:4 ✺
25.04.26	Deportivo Alavés - Mallorca	2:1 ✺
21.04.26	Real Madrid - Deportivo Alavés	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
04.01.26	Deportivo Alavés - Real Oviedo	1:1
Spanish LaLiga2
13.01.23	Real Oviedo - Deportivo Alavés	1:0
29.10.22	Deportivo Alavés - Real Oviedo	2:1
Club Friendly
30.07.22	Deportivo Alavés - Real Oviedo	0:0
10.08.19	Real Oviedo - Deportivo Alavés	1:2
Spanish LaLiga2
30.01.16	Real Oviedo - Deportivo Alavés	1:1
30.08.15	Deportivo Alavés - Real Oviedo	2:0

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