Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 24

Date: 21 January 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Mendizorrotza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)

Referee: Monescillo D. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport


	Deportivo Alavés		Racing Santander

	1	X	2
	2	2.88	4.75	Watch
	1.98	2.8	4.33
	1.95	2.95	4.75
	1.99	2.85	4.4
	2.02	2.97	4.92
	2.07	2.95	4.2	Watch
	2.02	2.9	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.97)	2.9 ↓ (3.04)	4.55 ↑ (4.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Alavés
46.9%

Draw
32.4%

Racing Santander
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

30.7%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

29.6%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Alavés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Racing Santander has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.3%	36.7%	10%

Deportivo Alavés - Racing Santander Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Alavés will win (votes: 16 - 53.3%). Racing will win (votes: 3 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 36.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alavés: 35.4% – 71.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 18).

Alavés has the most likely position - 4 (10.62%), has project points - 64, has currently - 37, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (40%), has a chance of promoted (21%), has a very small chance of win league (5%).

Racing has the most likely position - 19 (10.41%), has project points - 49, has currently - 25, has a chance of relegated (30%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (3%), has a very small chance of promoted (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Alavés could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Alavés is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alavés won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Alavés won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Alavés
Spanish Copa del Rey
17.01.23	Deportivo Alavés - Sevilla	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
13.01.23	Real Oviedo - Deportivo Alavés	1:0 ✺
07.01.23	Deportivo Alavés - Burgos	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.01.23	Deportivo Alavés - Valladolid	1:0 ✺
21.12.22	Mérida AD - Deportivo Alavés	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLWWW
- Racing Santander
Spanish LaLiga2
14.01.23	Racing Santander - Sporting de Gijón	2:0 ✺
08.01.23	Las Palmas - Racing Santander	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
22.12.22	Linares Deportivo - Racing Santander	1:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
17.12.22	Cartagena - Racing Santander	0:3 ✺
11.12.22	Racing Santander - Mirandés	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
01.11.22	Racing Santander - Deportivo Alavés	1:1
Club Friendly
03.08.19	Racing Santander - Deportivo Alavés	0:1
18.07.18	Racing Santander - Deportivo Alavés	0:0
Spanish LaLiga2
28.03.15	Deportivo Alavés - Racing Santander	2:1
25.10.14	Racing Santander - Deportivo Alavés	1:1

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