Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 40

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Ibercaja Estadio (Zaragoza)

Referee: Gonzalez Esteban J. A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Australia	beIN Connect
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	DAZN / App
Singapore	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Sweden	TV4 Sportkanalen
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 15
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter


	Zaragoza		Sporting de Gijón

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.4	4.1	Watch
	1.88	3.3	4.05	Watch
	1.94	3.42	4.61
	1.93	3.25	4.43	Watch
	1.85	3.2	4.2
	1.93	3.43	4.14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.8)	3.33 ↓ (3.78)	4.26 ↑ (4.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zaragoza
49.6%

Draw
28.3%

Sporting de Gijón
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

25%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

24.8%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zaragoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Sporting de Gijón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting de Gijón than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95%	0%	5%

Zaragoza - Sporting de Gijón Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Zaragoza (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Sporting de Gijón (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Users Predictions: Zaragoza will win (19 of 20 users predict this - 95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Rodriguez A. (G) 2. Sebastian J. 18. El Yamiq J. 16. Radovanovic A. 3. Tasende D. 33. Saidu Y. 23. Cuenca M. A. 8. Moya T. 6. Bare K. (C) 31. Pinilla H. 9. Gomez D.	1. Yanez R. (G) 15. Vazquez P. 4. Perrin L. 44. Cuenca A. 2. Rosas G. 36. Rodriguez M. 24. Smith J. 14. Corredera A. 3. Garcia P. 10. Gelabert Pina C. 7. Campos G. (C)
Substitutes
22. Agada W. 24. Akouokou P. 32. Barrachina H. 25. Cumic N. 36. Gomes A. 19. Kodro K. 27. Larios J. 26. Mensah M. 17. Moyano F. 35. Obon (G) 34. Terrer L. 29. Tobajas J.	8. Bernal J. 18. Coundoul A. 23. Curbelo E. 49. Fernandez M. 13. Joel C. (G) 48. Paul D. 5. Sanchez D. 20. Vazquez K. 30. Venteo I. (G)
Coaches
Navarro D.	Jimenez B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
23', 1 - 0, Saidu Y. ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, Perrin L. ⚽, Vazquez P. (A),
39', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
41', 1 - 2, Corredera A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Cuenca M. A. ↓, Moyano F. ↑,
46', Radovanovic A. ↓, Kodro K. ↑,
54', Rosas G. ↓, Vazquez K. ↑,
60', Garcia P. 🟨,
65', Yanez R. 🟨,
69', Smith J. ↓, Coundoul A. ↑,
69', Gelabert Pina C. ↓, Bernal J. ↑,
74', Tasende D. ↓, Larios J. ↑,
74', Sebastian J. ↓, Gomes A. ↑,
78', Pinilla H. ↓, Tobajas J. ↑,
79', Bernal J. 🟨,
85', Garcia P. ↓, Sanchez D. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 3, Coundoul A. ⚽, Campos G. (A),

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zaragoza won 1.

Zaragoza is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Sporting de Gijón's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sporting de Gijón may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Zaragoza is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Zaragoza: Aguirregabiria M. (Knee Injury) Andrada E. (Red Card) Carbonell L. (Knee Injury) Francho (Inactive) Guti R. (Coach's decision) Insua P. (Inactive) Pomares C. (Yellow Cards) Soberon M. (Red Card) Tachi (Knee Injury) Valery (Shoulder Injury) de la Fuente P. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Sporting de Gijón: Dubasin J. (Red Card) Ferrari A. (Leg Injury) Loum M. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Nacho Martin (Achilles Tendon Injury) Olivan B. (Injury) Otero J. (Yellow Cards) Queipo D. (Injury)

There are questionable in Zaragoza: Agada W. (Coach's decision) Akouokou P. (Inactive) Gonzalez R. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zaragoza won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:21. (average 1.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Zaragoza won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:6. (average 1.7:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Gijon	8	4	1	3	8:8	0	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Zaragoza
Spanish LaLiga2
09.05.26	Valladolid - Zaragoza	2:0 ✺
01.05.26	Zaragoza - Granada	0:1 ✺
26.04.26	Huesca - Zaragoza	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Zaragoza - Ceuta	2:2 ✺
11.04.26	Córdoba - Zaragoza	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL
- Sporting de Gijón
Spanish LaLiga2
09.05.26	Málaga - Sporting de Gijón	2:1 ✺
03.05.26	Sporting de Gijón - Ceuta	1:2 ✺
26.04.26	Córdoba - Sporting de Gijón	3:2 ✺
19.04.26	Sporting de Gijón - Cádiz	3:0 ✺
11.04.26	Burgos - Sporting de Gijón	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
26.10.25	Sporting de Gijón - Zaragoza	1:0
01.03.25	Zaragoza - Sporting de Gijón	1:1
28.09.24	Sporting de Gijón - Zaragoza	1:0
05.02.24	Zaragoza - Sporting de Gijón	3:0
14.10.23	Sporting de Gijón - Zaragoza	2:2
22.01.23	Sporting de Gijón - Zaragoza	1:0
17.09.22	Zaragoza - Sporting de Gijón	1:0

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