Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 39

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio José Zorrilla (Valladolid)

Referee: Fuentes A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, DSports 6
Australia	beIN Connect
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	DSports 6
Indonesia	beIN SPORTS MAX
Malaysia	beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	DAZN / App
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	Aragon TV, DAZN Espana, Gol Play, LaLiga Hypermotion
Sweden	TV4 Play
Thailand	beIN SPORTS MAX
Uruguay	Disney+, DSports 6
Venezuela	Disney+


	Valladolid		Zaragoza

	1	X	2
	1.76	3.25	4.1	Watch
	2.05	3.25	3.3
	1.85	3.35	4.15	Watch
	1.9	3.58	4.45
	1.93	3.41	4.17	Watch
	1.85	3.25	4
	1.9	3.42	4.31	Watch
	1.96	3.25	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (1.92)	3.35 (3.35)	4.02 ↑ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valladolid
49%

Draw
27.8%

Zaragoza
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

27.7%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

27.5%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valladolid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Zaragoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Valladolid - Zaragoza Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Valladolid (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Zaragoza (1.85) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Users Predictions: Valladolid will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Valladolid (votes: 1 - 25%). Zaragoza (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Aceves A. (G) 14. Alejo I. 15. Tomeo P. 4. Torres D. 18. Clerc C. 6. Lachuer M. 24. Juric S. (C) 21. Ponceau J. 22. Peter Federico 9. Latasa J. 17. Biuk S.	13. Rodriguez A. (G) 2. Sebastian J. 4. Insua P. 18. El Yamiq J. 27. Larios J. 6. Bare K. 8. Moya T. 14. Francho (C) 11. Gonzalez R. 23. Cuenca M. A. 9. Gomez D.
Substitutes
38. Carvajal A. 25. Erlien V. 13. Guilherme Fernandes (G) 23. Jaouab M. 10. Marcos Andre 16. Maroto M. 5. Martinez R. 8. Meseguer Cavas V. A. 2. Michelin C. 30. Modesto H. 11. Ndiaye A. 19. Sanseviero L.	32. Barrachina H. 36. Gomes A. 19. Kodro K. 26. Mensah M. 17. Moyano F. 35. Obon (G) 31. Pinilla H. 15. Pomares C. 16. Radovanovic A. 7. Soberon M. 34. Terrer L. 29. Tobajas J.
Coaches
Escriba F.	Navarro D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Latasa J. ⚽, Lachuer M. (A),
15', Insua P. 🟨,
24', Biuk S. 🟨,
41', Torres D. 🟨,
45+2', El Yamiq J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', El Yamiq J. ↓, Gomes A. ↑,
57', Cuenca M. A. ↓, Pinilla H. ↑,
58', Ponceau J. 🟨,
59', Lachuer M. 🟨,
63', Lachuer M. ↓, Maroto M. ↑,
63', Peter Federico ↓, Sanseviero L. ↑,
65', Francho ↓, Kodro K. ↑,
67', Maroto M. 🟨,
72', Ponceau J. ↓, Marcos Andre ↑,
78', Insua P. ↓, Soberon M. ↑,
80', Gomez D. ↓, Pomares C. ↑,
80', Pomares C. 🟨,
82', Soberon M. 🟥,
85', Latasa J. ↓, Carvajal A. ↑,
85', Biuk S. ↓, Ndiaye A. ↑,
87', 2 - 0, Carvajal A. ⚽,
90+1', Larios J. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 15 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valladolid won 2.

Valladolid has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Zaragoza has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Valladolid may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Valladolid is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Valladolid: Alejo I. (Injury) Bueno G. (Knee Injury) Canos S. (Injury) Garriel I. (Injury) Marcos Andre (Injury) Ohio N. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Zaragoza: Agada W. (Coach's decision) Akouokou P. (Inactive) Bare K. (Inactive) Carbonell L. (Knee Injury) Saidu Y. (Yellow Cards) Tachi (Knee Injury) Valery (Shoulder Injury) de la Fuente P. (Knee Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Valladolid won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:14. (average 1.4:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Valladolid won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.6:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Valladolid	8	2	3	3	8:11	-3	9

Last Results with these Odds

Zaragoza - the odds 3.85 are the expected chance of winning is 24.07%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Valladolid
Spanish LaLiga2
03.05.26	Las Palmas - Valladolid	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Valladolid - Real Sociedad B	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	FC Andorra - Valladolid	1:0 ✺
13.04.26	Valladolid - Eibar	0:0 ✺
04.04.26	Leonesa - Valladolid	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWLTL
- Real Zaragoza
Spanish LaLiga2
01.05.26	Zaragoza - Granada	0:1 ✺
26.04.26	Huesca - Zaragoza	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Zaragoza - Ceuta	2:2 ✺
11.04.26	Córdoba - Zaragoza	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Zaragoza - Mirandés	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
06.09.25	Zaragoza - Valladolid	1:1
09.03.24	Valladolid - Zaragoza	2:0
18.08.23	Zaragoza - Valladolid	1:0
22.01.22	Zaragoza - Valladolid	0:0
20.08.21	Valladolid - Zaragoza	2:0
27.05.18	Zaragoza - Valladolid	3:2
19.12.17	Valladolid - Zaragoza	3:2

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