Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Promotion Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 12 May 2024, Sunday


	Zaragoza B		Pontevedra

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.3	1.87
	3.6	3.5	1.95
	3.77	3.4	1.95
	3.7	3.25	1.83
	3.9	3.19	1.96
	3.6	3.4	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.68 ↑ (2.48)	3.34 ↑ (2.83)	1.91 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zaragoza B
24.8%

Draw
27.3%

Pontevedra
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

31.4%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

32.8%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zaragoza B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zaragoza B's form might have worsened.

Pontevedra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pontevedra's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zaragoza B than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zaragoza B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontevedra than the current prediction. (-16.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pontevedra, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, de Almeida D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
71', 1 - 1, Conte F. ⚽,
85', 2 - 1, Vaquero ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

Pontevedra is Qualified for Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Pontevedra will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zaragoza B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
05.05.24	Calahorra - Zaragoza B	4:3 ✺
28.04.24	Zaragoza B - Barakaldo	0:4 ✺
21.04.24	Arenas Club de Getxo - Zaragoza B	2:2 ✺
14.04.24	Zaragoza B - San Juan	3:0 ✺
07.04.24	Mutilvera - Zaragoza B	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLTWW
- Pontevedra CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
05.05.24	Pontevedra - RC Villalbes	1:0 ✺
28.04.24	Deportivo A Coruña B - Pontevedra	2:2 ✺
21.04.24	Pontevedra - Ourense CF	0:2 ✺
14.04.24	Compostela - Pontevedra	2:2 ✺
07.04.24	Pontevedra - Covadonga	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WTLTW

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