Match Info

Division 2 - Round 9

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday

Location: Zdzisław Krzyszkowiak Stadium (Bydgoszcz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Zawisza Bydgoszcz		Górnik Łęczna

	1	X	2
	2.20	3.40	2.70
	2.45	3.20	2.48
	2.37	3.50	2.70
	2.36	3.62	2.71	Watch
	2.30	3.45	2.65
	2.34	3.52	2.80	Watch
	2.22	3.35	2.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.3)	3.43 ↑ (3.3)	2.68 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zawisza Bydgoszcz
39.3%

Draw
26.6%

Górnik Łęczna
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

27.3%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

28.8%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zawisza Bydgoszcz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Górnik Łęczna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zawisza Bydgoszcz than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Łęczna than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Górnik Łęczna Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Oczkowski M. (G) 15. Brzozowski K. 77. Cywinski M. (C) 2. Dziarkowski M. 13. Juskiewicz J. 6. Kanach R. 9. Kozlowski F. 27. Kusmierczyk B. 24. Staniak M. 17. Stepien M. 21. Szumilas W.	1. Matysek A. (G) 29. Antkowiak H. 10. Deja A. 3. Holownia M. 4. Jaroszynski P. (C) 5. Kobryn R. 7. Korbecki B. 38. Myszor J. 19. Quainoo S. 27. Rogala G. 16. Walski M.
Substitutes
8. Bogusiewicz K. . Kalitta M. 10. Kona M. 90. Mas M. 23. Nowak K. 11. Rak S. 3. Slawek M. 22. Strzyzewski M. 46. Wojciechowski T. (G)	30. Akhmedov B. 9. Novotny J. 88. Osipiuk O. 40. Stadnicki E. 11. Tkacz D. 23. Turek K. 99. Wilk K. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Jaroszynski P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Kusmierczyk B. ↓, Rak S. ↑,
68', Antkowiak H. ↓, Novotny J. ↑,
70', Stepien M. ↓, Bogusiewicz K. ↑,
82', Kozlowski F. ↓, Kalitta M. ↑,
82', Szumilas W. ↓, Kona M. ↑,
87', Staniak M. 🟨,
87', Novotny J. 🟨,
90', Korbecki B. ↓, Akhmedov B. ↑,

Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 5th in the Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Playoffs and 2nd in the Promotion ~ Division 1).

Zawisza has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Górnik Łęczna is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Zawisza has recorded 0 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 4:7 (averaging 1:1.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Zawisza against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals (averaging 0.5:0.5 per game).

Outrights of Polish Division 2 for now

Leczna: 13.59% Zawisza: 3.26%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Leczna	10	6	2	2	21:10	11	20
5	Zawisza	10	4	4	2	17:13	4	16

Last Results with these Odds

Zawisza Bydgoszcz - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 39.11%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Górnik Łęczna - the odds 2.68 are the expected chance of winning is 33.63%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zawisza Bydgoszcz
Polish Division 2
12.09.26	Hutnik - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	1:1 ✺
04.09.26	Stal Stalowa Wola - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	3:3 ✺
29.08.26	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Legia II	4:1 ✺
22.08.26	Avia Świdnik - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	1:4 ✺
16.08.26	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Lechia Zielona Góra	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TTWWW
- Górnik Łęczna
Polish Division 2
12.09.26	Górnik Łęczna - Legia II	4:1 ✺
Polish Division 2 - East
05.09.26	Sokół Kleczew - Górnik Łęczna	0:4 ✺
Polish Cup
02.09.26	Górnik Łęczna - Stal Mielec	4:3 penalties ✺
Polish Division 2 - East
30.08.26	Górnik Łęczna - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	1:0 ✺
Polish Division 2
21.08.26	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Górnik Łęczna	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
22.05.15	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Górnik Łęczna	1:1
13.02.15	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Górnik Łęczna	0:0
16.08.14	Górnik Łęczna - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	5:2
Polish Division 1
11.05.13	Górnik Łęczna - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	1:1

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