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Current Win Probability
Zenit 76.7%
Draw 15.7%
Dynamo Makhachkala 7.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
69.3%
20.5%
10.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
74.4%
19.1%
9.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zenit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zenit's performance.
Dynamo Makhachkala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zenit than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Makhachkala than the current prediction. (+2%)
Zenit - Dynamo Makhachkala Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
57. Moskvichev B. (G) 31. Gustavo Mantuan 33. Nino 28. Alip N. 3. Douglas Santos (C) 5. Barrios W. 93. Karpukas A. 10. Glushenkov M. 20. Pedrinho 11. Luiz Henrique 9. Felipe Augusto
33. Karabashev N. (G) 77. Sundukov T. 24. Alarcon A. 19. Zinovich K. 99. Alibekov M. (C) 23. Makhamadzhonov M. 14. Kuzyaev D. 16. Mrezigue H. 47. Glushkov N. 10. Hosseinnejad M. 11. Miro
Substitutes
16. Adamov D. (G) 25. Andrade K. 14. Jhon Jhon 15. Karavaev V. 61. Kondakov D. 38. Musaev A. 51. Shilov V. 82. Volkov S. 8. Wendel 96. Zaytsev M. (G)
25. Agalarov G. 43. Akhmedov I. 30. Aleksandrov D. 21. Dzhabrailov A. 13. Kagermazov S. 88. Lesovoy D. 9. Magomedov R. 39. Magomedov T. (G) 72. Sandrachuk A.
Coaches
Semak S.
Evseev V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Evseev V. 🟨,
16', Miro (Penalty Awarded),
44', Makhamadzhonov M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', Alarcon A. 🟨,
56', Alibekov M. 🟨,
62', Zinovich K. 🟨,
63', 1 - 0, Felipe Augusto (Penalty Awarded),
64', Miro ↓, Agalarov G. ↑,
65', Hosseinnejad M. ↓, Lesovoy D. ↑,
69', Mrezigue H. ↓, Dzhabrailov A. ↑,
77', 2 - 0, Glushenkov M. (Penalty Awarded),
83', Felipe Augusto ↓, Jhon Jhon ↑,
83', Pedrinho ↓, Andrade K. ↑,
83', Kuzyaev D. ↓, Aleksandrov D. ↑,
83', Makhamadzhonov M. ↓, Sandrachuk A. ↑,
84', Lesovoy D. 🟨,
90', Barrios W. ↓, Kondakov D. ↑,
90', Luiz Henrique ↓, Musaev A. ↑,
90+3', Gustavo Mantuan ↓, Wendel ↑,
90+8', Andrade K. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 2nd and 9th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zenit won 4.
Zenit arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Dynamo Makhachkala has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Zenit may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Zenit holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.
Confirmed absences for Zenit: Diveev I.
(Inactive)
Vega R.
(Yellow Cards)
Wendel
(Injury).
Confirmed absences for Dynamo Makhachkala: Sandrachuk A.
(Injury)
Shumakhov I.
(Knee Injury).
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Zenit has recorded 9 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:3 (averaging 1.9:0.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Zenit against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 15:2 goals (averaging 2.1:0.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Zenit
12
9
0
3
27:13
14
27
10
Dynamo Makhachkala
12
4
1
7
16:23
-7
13
Outrights of Russian Premier League for now
Dynamo Makhachkala: 0.84%
Last Results with these Odds
Zenit - the odds 1.33 are the expected chance of winning is 69.28%, but this team recently wins 81% of matches with these odds.
Asia
Russia
Serbia
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Moskvichev B. (G) 
Gustavo Mantuan 
Alip N. 
Barrios W. 
Zinovich K. 
Makhamadzhonov M. 
Mrezigue H. 
Hosseinnejad M. 
Miro 
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