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Current Win Probability
Krasnodar 31.8%
Draw 29%
Zenit 39.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
32.5%
28.3%
39.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.7%
29.3%
37.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Krasnodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
Zenit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krasnodar than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zenit than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
50%
33.3%
Krasnodar - Zenit Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Krasnodar will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Zenit will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Agkatsev S. (G) 17. Paltsev V. 3. Tormena V. 5. Jubal Junior 15. Olaza L. 53. Chernikov A. 8. Douglas Augusto 18. Christian 47. Utkin D. 9. Cordoba J. (C) 11. Joao Batxi
16. Adamov D. (G) 31. Gustavo Mantuan 33. Nino 28. Alip N. 3. Douglas Santos (C) 5. Barrios W. 93. Karpukas A. 11. Luiz Henrique 10. Glushenkov M. 20. Pedrinho 7. Sobolev A.
Substitutes
23. Boselli J. 59. Khmarin A. 16. Koryakin A. (G) 6. Lenini K. 21. Ozdoev M. 98. Petrov S. 2. Rodriguez M. 40. Vakhania I. 10. Vorobyev D.
25. Andrade K. 21. Erokhin A. 9. Felipe Augusto 14. Jhon Jhon 15. Karavaev V. 61. Kondakov D. 57. Moskvichev B. (G) 38. Musaev A. 51. Shilov V. 66. Vega R. 82. Volkov S. 96. Zaytsev M. (G)
Coaches
Musaev M.
Semak S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
17', Sobolev A. 🟨,
19', Utkin D. 🟨,
31', Luiz Henrique 🟨,
31', Olaza L. 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, Glushenkov M. ⚽, Douglas Santos (A),
45+2', Chernikov A. 🟨,
45+4', 0 - 2, Glushenkov M. ⚽, Pedrinho (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Paltsev V. ↓, Vakhania I. ↑,
50', Douglas Santos 🟨,
53', 0 - 3, Sobolev A. ⚽, Pedrinho (A),
55', 1 - 3, Joao Batxi ⚽,
61', Chernikov A. ↓, Ozdoev M. ↑,
71', 2 - 3, Cordoba J. ⚽, Vakhania I. (A),
74', Karpukas A. ↓, Andrade K. ↑,
80', Tormena V. 🟥,
81', Glushenkov M. ↓, Kondakov D. ↑,
81', Luiz Henrique ↓, Jhon Jhon ↑,
82', Christian ↓, Boselli J. ↑,
83', Joao Batxi ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
85', Utkin D. ↓, Petrov S. ↑,
90+6', Ozdoev M. 🟨,
Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 1st and 5th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Krasnodar won 1.
Currently, both sides are showing commendable stability on the pitch.
Krasnodar could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Krasnodar has faced a series of away games on the road.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Confirmed absences for Krasnodar: Krivtsov N.
(Muscle Injury).
Confirmed absences for Zenit: Wendel
(Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Krasnodar has recorded 3 wins, 5 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:40 (averaging 1.4:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Krasnodar against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 7 losses, with 13:18 goals (averaging 1.3:1.8 per game).
Asia
Brazil
North Macedonia
Russia
Serbia
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Agkatsev S. (G) 
Tormena V. 
Olaza L. 
Cordoba J. (C) 
Joao Batxi 
Alip N. 
Lenini K. 
Vega R. 
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