Match Info

Premier League - Round 10

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Gazovik Stadium (Orenburg) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Matveev S. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Asia	—	Q Football Asia, Q Sport Asia
Bosnia And Herzegovina	12:00	Arena Sport 4P, Arena Sport 5P
Russia	13:00	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru


	Orenburg		Dynamo Makhachkala

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.34	3.23
	2.3	3.25	3.15
	2.38	3.43	3.3	Watch
	2.26	3.15	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.3)	3.29 ↓ (3.4)	3.16 ↓ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orenburg
40.9%

Draw
28.9%

Dynamo Makhachkala
30.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.6%

28.2%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

27.3%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orenburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

The chances for Dynamo Makhachkala have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orenburg than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Makhachkala than the current prediction. (+1%)

Orenburg - Dynamo Makhachkala Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ovsyannikov B. (G) 24. Sivis M. 6. Palacios J. 5. Tataev A. (C) 26. Tsenov E. 78. Kul R. 57. Bolotov E. 10. Thompson J. 8. Puebla D. 20. Rybchinskiy D. 30. Guzina G.	33. Karabashev N. (G) 23. Makhamadzhonov M. 43. Akhmedov I. 99. Alibekov M. (C) 88. Lesovoy D. 77. Sundukov T. 47. Glushkov N. 6. Apshatsev M. 14. Kuzyaev D. 16. Mrezigue H. 25. Agalarov G.
Substitutes
21. Bosch B. 35. Degtev A. (G) 27. Golybin R. 77. Kasadzhikov A. 38. Kasimov A. 4. Khotulev D. 22. Lukashov A. 63. Minatulaev O. 11. Nazarenko E. 2. Poroykov S. 80. Pykhcheev M. 3. Vedernikov D.	24. Alarcon A. 30. Aleksandrov D. 21. Dzhabrailov A. 10. Hosseinnejad M. 13. Kagermazov S. 8. Khubulov V. 9. Magomedov R. 39. Magomedov T. (G) 11. Miro 28. Serderov S. 1. Volk D. (G) 19. Zinovich K.
Coaches
Akhmetzyanov I.	Evseev V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Guzina G. ⚽, Thompson J. (A),
39', 2 - 0, Palacios J. ⚽, Kul R. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Akhmedov I. ↓, Alarcon A. ↑,
46', Apshatsev M. ↓, Miro ↑,
53', 3 - 0, Guzina G. ⚽, Puebla D. (A),
54', Karabashev N. 🟨,
69', 4 - 0, Thompson J. (Penalty Awarded),
70', Thompson J. ↓, Lukashov A. ↑,
70', Rybchinskiy D. ↓, Kasadzhikov A. ↑,
74', Mrezigue H. ↓, Aleksandrov D. ↑,
74', Agalarov G. ↓, Zinovich K. ↑,
78', Tataev A. ↓, Khotulev D. ↑,
78', Puebla D. ↓, Golybin R. ↑,
79', Lesovoy D. ↓, Khubulov V. ↑,
81', Guzina G. ↓, Nazarenko E. ↑,

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11th and 7th).

In recent outings, Orenburg has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Dynamo Makhachkala has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Orenburg may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Orenburg is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Confirmed absences for Orenburg: Rudakov M. (Arm Injury).

Confirmed absences for Dynamo Makhachkala: Shumakhov I. (Knee Injury).

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Orenburg has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:5 (averaging 1:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Orenburg against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 3:2 goals (averaging 1.5:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Orenburg	12	3	7	2	14:12	2	16
10	Dynamo Makhachkala	12	4	1	7	16:23	-7	13

Outrights of Russian Premier League for now

Dynamo Makhachkala: 0.84% Orenburg: 0.84%

Last Results with these Odds

Orenburg - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 41.63%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Orenburg
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Orenburg - Tekstilshchik Ivanovo	3:2 ✺
03.10.26	Lokomotiv Moscow - Orenburg	2:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
17.09.26	Orenburg - Krasnodar	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Dynamo Moscow - Orenburg	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Orenburg - Akron Tolyatti	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLTLT
- Dynamo Makhachkala
Russian Premier League
17.09.26	Dynamo Makhachkala - CSKA Moscow	1:3 ✺
13.09.26	Akhmat Grozny - Dynamo Makhachkala	3:2 ✺
06.09.26	Dynamo Makhachkala - Rodina Moscow	2:0 ✺
Russian Cup
02.09.26	Zenit - Dynamo Makhachkala	3:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
30.08.26	Rubin Kazan - Dynamo Makhachkala	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
13.03.26	Dynamo Makhachkala - Orenburg	1:0
27.07.25	Orenburg - Dynamo Makhachkala	1:1
19.04.25	Orenburg - Dynamo Makhachkala	2:1
09.11.24	Dynamo Makhachkala - Orenburg	2:1

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