Match Info

Premier League - Round 11

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Anzhi Arena (Kaspijsk) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Karasev S. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Asia	—	Q Sport Asia
Russia	16:30	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
International	13:30	OneFootball TV


	Dynamo Makhachkala		Akron Tolyatti

	1	X	2
	2.33	3.40	3.32
	2.25	3.30	3.25
	2.26	3.37	3.31	Watch
	2.16	3.20	3.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (1.81)	3.32 ↓ (3.55)	3.25 ↓ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dynamo Makhachkala
42.2%

Draw
28.6%

Akron Tolyatti
29.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51%

26%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

25.1%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dynamo Makhachkala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dynamo Makhachkala's form might have worsened.

Akron Tolyatti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Akron Tolyatti's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Makhachkala than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dynamo Makhachkala, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akron Tolyatti than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Akron Tolyatti, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Dynamo Makhachkala - Akron Tolyatti Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Dynamo Makhachkala will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.80) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Karabashev N. (G) 23. Makhamadzhonov M. 24. Alarcon A. 99. Alibekov M. (C) 14. Kuzyaev D. 47. Glushkov N. 16. Mrezigue H. 19. Zinovich K. 11. Miro 77. Sundukov T. 25. Agalarov G.	88. Gudiev V. (G) 13. Bardybakhin V. 26. Escoval R. 19. Bokoev M. (C) 21. Fernandez R. 15. Loncar S. 8. Bistrovic K. 6. Hovhannisyan K. 11. Dudu 9. Tedic S. 99. Shumansky A.
Substitutes
43. Akhmedov I. 30. Aleksandrov D. 6. Apshatsev M. 21. Dzhabrailov A. 10. Hosseinnejad M. 13. Kagermazov S. 8. Khubulov V. 88. Lesovoy D. 9. Magomedov R. 39. Magomedov T. (G) 28. Serderov S. 1. Volk D. (G)	10. Arevalo K. 81. Bazilevskiy N. 91. Boldyrev M. 69. Dmitriev A. 24. Nedelcearu I. 71. Pestryakov D. 89. Popenkov D. 2. Rocha Y. 17. Sidorenko A. 32. Terekhovsky I. (G) 55. Vidosavljevic M. 98. Volochay R. (G)
Coaches
Evseev V.	Blagojevic S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Zinovich K. 🟨,
43', Escoval R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Miro ↓, Hosseinnejad M. ↑,
46', Zinovich K. ↓, Lesovoy D. ↑,
46', Dudu ↓, Boldyrev M. ↑,
62', Kuzyaev D. ↓, Apshatsev M. ↑,
68', Hovhannisyan K. ↓, Vidosavljevic M. ↑,
69', Bardybakhin V. ↓, Rocha Y. ↑,
72', 1 - 0, Hosseinnejad M. ⚽,
75', Agalarov G. ↓, Akhmedov I. ↑,
81', Shumansky A. ↓, Pestryakov D. ↑,
87', 1 - 1, Fernandez R. ⚽, Tedic S. (A),
88', Fernandez R. ↓, Popenkov D. ↑,
88', Sundukov T. ↓, Kagermazov S. ↑,
90+2', Vidosavljevic M. 🟨,

Preview

Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 9th and 14th in the Premier League (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dynamo Makhachkala won 0.

Recent results have been tough for Dynamo Makhachkala (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Akron has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Akron could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Akron has had a run of games away from home.

Dynamo Makhachkala is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Dynamo Makhachkala has recorded 0 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:11 (averaging 0.6:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Dynamo Makhachkala against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 3:4 goals (averaging 0.8:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Dynamo Makhachkala	12	4	1	7	16:23	-7	13
12	Akron Togliatti	12	2	6	4	15:21	-6	12

Outrights of Russian Premier League for now

Akron Togliatti: 0.84% Dynamo Makhachkala: 0.84%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dynamo Makhachkala
Russian Cup
14.10.26	Dynamo Makhachkala - Zenit	1:2 ✺
Russian Premier League
10.10.26	Orenburg - Dynamo Makhachkala	4:0 ✺
17.09.26	Dynamo Makhachkala - CSKA Moscow	1:3 ✺
13.09.26	Akhmat Grozny - Dynamo Makhachkala	3:2 ✺
06.09.26	Dynamo Makhachkala - Rodina Moscow	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLLW
- Akron Tolyatti
Russian Cup
13.10.26	Lokomotiv Moscow - Akron Tolyatti	1:2 penalties ✺
Russian Premier League
09.10.26	Rostov - Akron Tolyatti	1:0 ✺
17.09.26	Akron Tolyatti - Akhmat Grozny	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Krasnodar - Akron Tolyatti	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Orenburg - Akron Tolyatti	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.7 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
23.04.26	Akron Tolyatti - Dynamo Makhachkala	1:1
08.08.25	Dynamo Makhachkala - Akron Tolyatti	1:1
02.05.25	Akron Tolyatti - Dynamo Makhachkala	1:0
26.10.24	Dynamo Makhachkala - Akron Tolyatti	1:1
Russian FNL
12.05.24	Akron Tolyatti - Dynamo Makhachkala	3:1
08.10.23	Dynamo Makhachkala - Akron Tolyatti	0:1
26.03.23	Akron Tolyatti - Dynamo Makhachkala	2:0

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