Match Info

Date: 9 September 2020, Wednesday


	Nizhny Novgorod		Volgar Astrakhan

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.5	2.9	Watch
	2.3	3.4	2.85
	2.14	3.25	2.88
	2.33	3	2.85
	2.43	3.37	2.93
	2.3	3.25	2.88	Watch
	2.4	3.44	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (1.66)	3.32 ↓ (3.58)	2.88 ↓ (4.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nizhny Novgorod
40.3%

Draw
27.8%

Volgar Astrakhan
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

25.3%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69%

20.1%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nizhny Novgorod has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nizhny Novgorod's form might have worsened.

Volgar Astrakhan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Volgar Astrakhan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nizhny Novgorod than the current prediction. (+28.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nizhny Novgorod, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volgar Astrakhan than the current prediction. (-16.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Volgar Astrakhan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.6%	14.8%	55.6%

Nizhny Novgorod - Volgar Astrakhan Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Nizhny Novgorod will win (votes: 8 - 29.6%). Volgar will win (votes: 15 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 14.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Volgar: 36.9% – 74.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Nizhny Novgorod is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Volgar Astrakhan has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Volgar Astrakhan have a series of guest games.

Nizhny Novgorod will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Nizhny Novgorod
Russian FNL
05.09.20	Krylya Sovetov - Nizhny Novgorod	3:0 ✺
30.08.20	Nizhny Novgorod - Tekstilshchik Ivanovo	2:1 ✺
Russian Cup
26.08.20	Tom Tomsk - Nizhny Novgorod	0:1 ✺
Russian FNL
22.08.20	Nizhny Novgorod - Alania Vladikavkaz	1:1 ✺
16.08.20	Nizhny Novgorod - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWWTL
- FC Volgar Astrakhan
Russian FNL
05.09.20	Volgar Astrakhan - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	1:1 ✺
30.08.20	Orenburg - Volgar Astrakhan	2:1 ✺
Russian Cup
26.08.20	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Volgar Astrakhan	2:1 ✺
Russian FNL
22.08.20	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Volgar Astrakhan	2:1 ✺
16.08.20	SKA Khabarovsk - Volgar Astrakhan	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLLLL

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